United States Presidential & Congressional Election 2024

Probably why Trump was willing to do something on CNN.

Of course, this is for the R primary. I hope CNN invites as many other Rs as possible with the same format.

In case you’re interested…the Iowa Electronic Markets just opened three (well, five, actually) markets related to the 2024 elections.

Be sure to read the prospectuses Rep Nom, Dem Nom, & USHouse.

Given he already said he’d win by 40% over a ticket of George Washington and Abraham Lincoln I can already give you the bigliest answer, a tremendous answer, some say, big strong men, with tears in their eyes, the best answer ever.

DeSantis is going to make it official tomorrow night, announcement is goin to be (I’m not making this up) in an exclusive with Elon Musk at 6 ET on Twitter Spaces.

Expect long, random pauses, followed by Elon making unrelated pop-culture remarks and DeSantis laughing hysterically.

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Could be worse, could be him and Zuckerberg talking virtually in the Metaverse

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Some weird things in the betting markets - Robert Kennedy Jr is now fourth in the line of betting for 2024 US President - Biden, Trump, de Santis, Kennedy, Harris, Newsom. Still early days.

I guess it’s an unusual election in that both parties have strong favorites to win the primary (a president and a former president) very early in the contest.

Yeah, especially with current interest rates it doesn’t make sense to get into betting market this early. I think DeSantis is way over priced, but don’t expect a market correction there until January.

Problem is I don’t see who is a reasonable non-Trump R candidate who has a chance of winning the primary.

Heh

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Wait, wait… seriously?

This guy?
https://community-new.goactuary.com/t/will-you-get-the-vaccine-as-soon-as-available-to-you/706/4456?u=twig93

Which markets are you looking at?

I don’t recall typing that, but that would be my style.

I hate to say it, but I think DeSantis is the "reasonable non-Trump R who has a chance of winning. If you’re hoping for a guy who doesn’t, for example, hate you for having breasts, you’re going to have to wait another decade or so. I just the Democrats field someone under 80.

Oddschecker, they get the odds from many different sources -

https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us-politics/us-presidential-election-2024/winner

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Why is Tim Scott listed twice with different odds? Are there two? If yes, which is which?

The listings are on disjoint sets of sites, so probably just an issue of how they are tagging him.

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DeSantis had his big announcement on Twitter tonight. Spaces didn’t work, announcement had to be delayed by 25. I guess Elon firing everybody may not have been the best choice.

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I saw #DeSaster trending.
I lol’d

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Trump and Biden social media teams have both posted videos trolling DeSantis about tonight. E.g., https://twitter.com/JoeBiden/status/1661530118458683394

There’s nothing ā€œreasonableā€ about DeSantis. The news will portray him that because the news is horrible at its job. But he’s not reasonable. He’s a horrible human being and a fascist.

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I think Desantis and Trump are fighting for the same crowd. Hutchinson and Scott are IMO leaders for the non-fascist wing of the party.