2021 GoActuary Jahiegel Memorial NFL Full Season Pick’em Contest

[twig93]

Also, if you thought the Ravens were going to win you’d still be giving up a COFP by arbitraging.

Like hypothetically let’s just say that ONA picked the Bears to win last night, so he’s out of contention and it’s just you & VA. And you got your picks in before VA.

Possible outcomes:
No COFP, Ravens win: Prize, 5 COFPs
No COFP, Raiders win: 4 COFPs
COFP, Ravens win: Prize, 4 COFPs
COFP, Raiders win: Prize, 4 COFPs

So at that point it would be a question of how confident you were in the Ravens.

[TheArbitrary]

Can we come up with a new name for arbitra…ing? My ears are ringing.

[1695814]

@Mountainhawk

So maybe I’m misunderstanding the rules,

[what Twig said]

@Mountainhawk

Lesson: Don’t read before caffeine.

Always good advice.

[1695814]

@Vorian_Atreides

I wonder has such a thing has ever happened before . . .

Yes…yes, it has…I remember an instance or two of highly uncorrelated players’ picks having highly correlated records.

[Vorian_Atreides]

But two players who were highly uncorrelated with each other ALSO being most uncorrelated with a consensus pick.

However, re-reading your post, it seems that you might’ve gotten a few numbers switched?

@1695814

The Sheep award for the most correlated with the Consensus picks . . . with a correlation of only 57.8\%. . . . .

The Goat award for the least correlated with the Consensus picks . . . a correlation of 70.2\%.

If it were the case that MH & I actually Sheep’d with the Consensus, I can see that happening w/o thinking something “special” took place (we’re correlated with a different set of picks from each other with a small overlap).

[1695814]

@Vorian_Atreides

you might’ve gotten a few numbers switched?

If by “you” you mean “your intern” then you’re probably right.

We’ll review after our afternoon continuous meeting huddle

[A_Student]

@Mountainhawk

COFP for a YGLTPYM…IGI and COFP, right?

Is this english? Asking for a mono-linguistic friend.

[twig93]

[Mountainhawk]

Nice lol.

[Vorian_Atreides]

I believe it’s some form of social media communications . . . twitterpating?

[1695814]

@Vorian_Atreides

However, re-reading your post, it seems that you might’ve gotten a few numbers switched?

Not a few…just one
Not switched but just plain bagel wrong.
Corrected for your viewing pleasure:

@1695814

The Sheep award for the most correlated with the Consensus picks goes to Jahiegel with a correlation of only 93.8%. Good thing he showed up for it.

[IPD]

@1695814

Welcome to the newest member, Jahiegel

Woah how do you get in that group

[1695814]

@IPD

Woah how do you get in that group

@1695814

To qualify for the HOF a player must have either won a season or participated in all seasons*. This implies, of course, that a player’s membership can be revoked if they qualify only under the all-seasons provision.

*The FSPHOF committee is reviewing these requirements.

[Vorian_Atreides]

And it’s not looking like I’m gonna win this week . . .

[1695814]

The night is still young…

[1695814]

Well…whattayaknow?

[1695814]

It’s a brand new ball game.

[Vorian_Atreides]

Ok . . . what’s the result if the game ends in a tie?

[twig93]

@Vorian_Atreides

what’s the result if the game ends in a tie?

We all get half a win / half a loss.

ETA: I guess excluding the hypothetical situation where someone predicted the tie. I don’t think anyone ever does that though… wouldn’t be good odds.

[Vorian_Atreides]

@twig93

We all get half a win / half a loss.

record wise, we’d get a tie . . . I was wondering who’d get the prize.

But it may be moot anyway . . . if they can get the players back on their sidelines . . .