United States Presidential & Congressional Election 2024

https://supreme.findlaw.com/supreme_court/justices/nopriorexp.html

Supreme Court Justices Without Prior Judicial Experience Before Becoming Justices

How can he? He doesn’t even know what it means, according to his own admission when asking someone what it meant.

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I’m not a fan of those antics either. It’s all part of the worsening political polarization and dysfunction that drive me to generally refuse to vote for major party candidates.

If you criticize one party for shenanigans when it comes to SCOTUS nominations, there’s definitely plenty of shenanigans on the other side to point to in response. None of it’s good.

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Not if you ignore the other party’s antics.

If the judge is qualified for the position according to the merit criteria, I’m not sure that it counts as patronage if they met the same criteria as everyone else. At some point, the selection comes down to the personal biases of the selector.

From my understanding the current system allows the selector to arbitrarily nominate whomever. Beyond having an inside Senate(?) the criteria is whatever you want it to be.

And?

Does Trump need to know what a thing is to dislike it?

Either tell him that it’s bad for his businesses or that The Heritage Foundation hates it, that’s enough.

The simplest way to get Trump to like/dislike a thing is for him to be made aware that the thing’s proponents do/don’t like him.

I somewhat doubt that Trump pays that much attention to the Heritage Foundation per sĆ©; I suspect it’s more a function of folks with a certain set of political beliefs having found a home at the Heritage Foundation, and the Heritage Foundation having found Trump a useful idiot to make a particularly strong push on their agenda…with the agenda having been recently tweaked by those folks with that certain set of political beliefs.

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He does not. He looks like an idiot when he claims someone is a DEI hire but doesn’t know what it means.
Not the first time, won’t be the last.

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I feel he knows what it means to him, but felt it was safer to answer based on the interviewers definition

I should clarify - though I believe Trump is quite familiar with the Heritage Foundation, I don’t expect that he has much personal interaction with it. It seems that his team of advisors and staffers communicate with them and set and explain to him his more official policies while leaving room to change course for whatever stream-of-consciousness policy emerges from his mouth in public speaking.

The Heritage Foundation did, after all, announce that Trump had attempted to enact 64% of their recommendations within his first year. Republicans claiming Trump has nothing to do with the Heritage Foundation are either disingenuous or ignorant.

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Nate Silver’s update today (being mindful of his caution that it would take a bit before the new model stabilized):

ā€œDemocrats have ace-king suited, and Republicans have pocket jacks.ā€ (45H-55T)

I believe that Nate’s estimate includes EV counting.

Any Poll that does not determine EV count is a complete waste of eyeball and brain cell time.
Popular vote polls can eat a bag of dicks.

Yep. His latest run has Harris narrowly ahead in popular vote with Trump ahead in EV.

National popular vote polls have their place…but you have to remember that the R’s have a 2-3 point advantage popular-vote wise. If Harris were running 2-3 points ahead of Trump in national popular vote polling, Nate might have the odds at 50-50.

For anything other than a Presidential election, sure. Best fast-food? Sure.

Honestly, I’d rather they not bother polling any state with a 5%+ lead.

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Some new swing state polls are out:
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4801296-trump-harris-polls-arizona-pennsylvania-georgia/

This is the first poll where I’ve seen Harris ahead of Trump in GA. However, this polling outfit leans left so I’d want to see results from other pollsters.

Bree Bros responses are not the temperament you want in a SC Justice. If he’s that easily rattled he should not be on the high court. But beyond the the hearings themselves is hyper partisan history from his immersion in the Starr report in seeming questionable ways, and his time in the Bush Administration where he did some less than savory things as the White House attorney but we’re unlikely to see eye to eye on him. I think besides Thomas, he’s easily the least qualified of the 9 currently on the bench.

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There was like a 7 percent increase in voter turnout between 16 and 20. Trump was very popular among Republicans and very hated among democrats, and enthusiasm offset.

7 points suggests the polls could all be very wrong.

Well, not as if pollsters were on some other planet merely observing us.
Each side has pollsters using their own and others’ data to update messaging and locations of rallies, in order to change voters’ impressions, which then changes polls from one time to the next.