Taliban Reconquista

Are the they trying to evacuate 10% of the Afghan population?

Someone above suggested there were 4 million Afghani’s that want to leave.

But a couple hundred thousand is probably not that big of a stretch.

Why lol?

It’s easy to set a higher expectation than we are seeing. What’s realistic?

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No matter how many people are “saved” the story is about those “left behind.”

I would believe those who worked with us is a much smaller number.

I don’t believe anyone has an expectation to get everyone out just because they want to leave

There is no win for Biden in any of this. There is only the hope of damage mitigation.

We could manage to get everyone left out without incident and he still has effectively handed over billions of dollars of weaponry to the Taliban, upset our NATO partners, and allowed the Taliban to draw a red line on the evacuation date that the US HAD TO FOLLOW. All of that is highly damaging to the idea that his administration is competent and can be trusted to lead this nation.

Yeah, we kind of created a shitshow by starting a war with no clear objective. Obviously there was “get Bin Laden” which I’d argue was in itself an overreaction, but that jingoism isn’t going to jingo itself with approval ratings on the line. Then we got him and went… well crap, I guess, War on Terror can keep this valid?

Scope creep scaled up to national level for trillions of dollars. Best to end it IMO, even though the optics are horrible. I believe, eventually, some people will view it as a stain on his legacy and some will view it as prudent decision-making. You don’t get to be President without authorizing some death. It’s sad, I’m sad for them, I’m sad we messed this up so badly. I don’t blame Biden for it.

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I was responding to a post from Colonel smoothie suggesting we fly everyone out and worry about the paperwork later .

If we offered a flight out of Afghanistan to anyone who wanted it, I think 10% of the population is actually quite conservative an estimate.

Afghanistan probably could’ve had a cleaner ending if the focus hadn’t quickly shifted to Iraq.

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I get that, but I don’t think the objective is everyone who wants it, but everyone who earned it, even if we worry about the paperwork later

or get everyone out who wants it, then carpet bomb the country, and send them back with resources to rebuild. Refuge problem solved

How do we know who those who’ve earned it are? The paperwork is what’s needed to figure out who “earned” it. If you want to skip the paperwork you’re opening the door to anyone who thinks they’ll be persecuted by the Taliban.

I am not sure of the order of operations

I would think everyone who worked with us, was recorded and is known
many, if not all paid
The Gov’t would then try to issue SIV for all the people on a list.

You seem to imply each individual needs to fill out paperwork and individually apply for a SIV
at which point we would go and get them

I am not sure which is true, but also the SIV applications have been coming in for years, the trump Nazi in residence was making sure they were not processed.

and the third option is all the applications have already been submitted, possibly when the translators and others working with us, so similar to option 1, we know who they are and how many there are

If it is option 2, they we might as well collect the Americans and get out of dodge. Though it could be a combination of 2 and 3, which means if the US doesn’t even have an application in hand, then they are most likely screwed

What about the families of the people who worked for the US?

What sort of ID do people living in the countryside have?

This seems like the unavoidable conclusion we have been pushing off for many years. Political opponents will use it to their advantage, but that should not be surprising.

You have GOT to be kidding me.

The Afghans that we promised to get out are not getting out. The Taliban has already publicly stated that. This looks TERRIBLE to the rest of the world who might want to ally with us in the future - we are now much less trustworthy.

The timeline is totally arbitrary. I just saw an interview yesterday with a Democratic Rep from New Jersey on the Homeland Security Committee saying that the timetable is determining the mission, not the mission determining the timetable.

Not getting the Afghans out is anything but a win. It is a colossal failure.

You’re so far off the mark that I don’t know if you’ve even been keeping up with the news. This isn’t falling along party lines. MANY Democrats are up in arms about this.

Yeah probably, but those folks have family members.

Yes it looks terrible. It was always going to look terrible. It’s why we have been there for 20 years. No president was willing to take it on.

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MSNBC has softened on Biden’s plans to leave Afghanistan. Claim it’s going better than we did in Vietnam and all past presidents just kept it going rather than do the right thing and get out.

I agree with you that it was always going to look terrible, and the can was kicked down the road countless times. It’s not like Biden started this war.

But our promise of getting out the Afghans who helped us is getting completely flushed down the toilet, and there’s this stupid arbitrary date that no one likes, and that even the president himself has had to waffle on whether we will truly be out by then.

It was always going to be ripping the Band-Aid off at a minimum, but let’s not say that Biden was courageous for doing it. The Taliban came in and overtook Kabul, and our hand was forced. We now get to send a message to our future allies in the world that we show no gratitude for their cooperation, and we will leave them behind in the end.