Ah. Must be tied among common opponents, too.
Well I was specifically asking about wild card possibilities, which are the tiebreaker scenarios I listed.
If the Commanders lose their remaining two games and the Seahawks win their remaining one, the teams will both be 10-7, no head-to-head, and the Commanders will still have the better conference record.
So the Seahawks cannot be a wildcard team.
Their only chance at the post season is to win the division.
The division tiebreakers against the Rams are NOT what I listed.
For the division tiebreakers between Seahawks & Rams (which requires Seattle to beat LA next week):
- Head-to-head: tied
- Division: tied
- Common games: I assume tied???
- Conference: tied
- Strength of victory: who the frick knows?!?!
They were saying that scenario comes down to strength of victory, so I assume common opponents must be tied, but have not personally verified.
How is strength of victory determined?
Strength of victory is the combined winning percentage of all teams they have beaten.
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Would have been simpler if Cards had just won.
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This should take you to the playoff standings sov is like the 5th column, it doesn’t bode well for Seattle. They must have a better record than the Rams in common opponents or I think they are eliminated. But since the Rams haven’t clinched according to that, I guess tge can get in.
Edit. I just read they need strength of victory which will probably take miracle
Yeah, all of the outcomes today hurt the seahawks.
Ok, I think this is where we’re at. In addition to us needing to beat the Rams next week, we need 12 of the following 14 things to happen:
Week 17
Falcons over Commanders
Packers over Vikings
Jets over Bills
Dolphins over Browns
Lions over 49ers
Week 18
Broncos over Chiefs
Dolphins over Jets
Falcons over Panthers
Cardinals over 49ers
Bears over Packers
Patriots over Bills
Lions over Vikings
Bucs over Saints
Chargers over Raiders
The minute 3 of those games go against us the Rams clinch. (I’m not positive about ties. Certainly if the Seahawks tie we are out, but in the other 14 games I’m not sure. We might be able to tolerate 1 tie and 11 wins.)
This scenario still works, which may be the same as twig’s
The outcomes that differ from “winning percentage” default:
Most important:
SEA > LAR
Possible outcomes
GB > MIN (17)
ATL > WAS (17)
And 10 of the following 11 outcomes:
The unlikely
DEN > KC
CHI > GB
NE > BUF
NYJ > BUF (17)
The following outcomes align with winning percentage, but are far from certainty:
AZ > SF
MIA > NYJ
MIA > CLE (17)
TB > NO
LAC > LV
ATL > CAR
DET > SF (17)
So much wiggle room
Bills are up 40-8 in the 4th quarter, so this one isn’t looking good.
This one’s not super far fetched as KC will presumably be resting Mahomes (didn’t he have a non-season-ending-but-non-trivial injury a few weeks ago) and some of their other stars.
The backups will be trying to prove their value, so they’ll be playing hard, but KC backups vs Denver starters could well go Seattle’s way.
Denver needs to at least tie to guarantee a post-season spot, so they’ll be playing.
Yeah, Jets did not take out the Bills, so there is very little wiggle room at this point.
Two have already gone against us and the one in progress is sketchy. We are done if the Commanders win tonight.
It seems the rams have clinched the division, meaning the Seahawks are eliminated. Assuming the rams rest their leading players next week and Seahawks win, it will be decided by strength of victory (the 5th tiebreak).
This would be the first time in a long time (ever?) that SOV is used to determine the division. It was used to determine a wild card in 2010.
Yeah the Commanders’ win sealed Seattle’s fate. We cannot catch up to the Rams on strength of victory… the 5th tiebreaker.
It is looking like my two teams (Seahawks and Bengals) may both finish 8th for the second year in a row… tough spot when the top 7 advance.
This was a year when there was not a dominant NFC West team. Winning the division was there for the Seahawks’ taking. Next year may be a lot tougher if the 49ers are healthy.
The 49ers are going to spend way too much on Brock Purdy and have to drop guys. They are not the threat. Cards are ascending. Need coach to elevate D beyond current.
Wondering if the SEA will play their starters.
Unlikely. Gotta rest up for the draft.
Good chance the Rams will rest some starters.