The number of abortions performed in 2019 was less than the number provided the year before Roe v Wade was decided. The best way to reduce abortions based on the data is to make it easier to be a mother. Interesting abortion statistics:
75% of women who get abortions are in poverty
59% already have children
Assuming Roe goes away, maps like that will start showing more nuance.
For example, the Mississippi law in this case is 15 weeks. Similarly, Floridaâs new law is 15 weeks.
According to the article I posted above,
Approximately 93 percent of abortions take place in the first 13 weeks of pregnancy, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention â meaning 15-week bans target a small fraction of abortions.
Iâm sure that legislators in both FL and MS will be quick to introduce both 6 week laws and âpersonhood at conceptionâ laws. That will be the next political battleground.
Another nitpick, Iowa has a six week law, but it was blocked by the Iowa Supreme Court, not the US Supreme Court. So it doesnât automatically go into effect if Roe falls.
Yeah, good point. Michigan and Wisconsin would presumably both fall. Maybe those are the only ones though, depending on what happens in Iowa. But still, non-trivial.
Iâm surprised they donât think Kansas will be likely to outlaw abortion. I think of them as being one of the more conservative states. Are there just a bunch of pro-choice Republicans in office in Kansas at the moment?
Not quite. Itâs an explicit acknowledgement that rights* not enumerated within the Constitution still exist and cannot be denied simply because they werenât enumerated.
The term is not specific to âcivil rightsâ or âpersonhood rightsâ. Just that one cannot declare that a right doesnât exist simply because itâs not specifically called out in the document.
So Congress could pass a law the spells out âabortion rightsâ and not necessarily violate the Constitution.
While I think I agree, if Republicans manage to set a precedent that abortion is murder (as they would ostensibly like to do), I donât have faith that the Commerce Clause would prevent traveling to another state to have a âmurderâ. Iâm not sure how jurisdiction would work in that case but I bet they wouldnât let it slide unless they absolutely have to. Isnât TX still in the middle of legal challenges over exactly that? (Maybe itâs already settled and I missed it.)
Depends on how they define 15 weeks. I believe that was among the issues with the Texas law, where it defined the start date such that â6 weeksâ was really more like 2 weeks, and someone who realized they were pregnant had days if that to get an abortion.
Texasâ law allowed someone outside Texas to sue someone in Texas (i.e. someone with no âstandingâ in the action). That is only 1 of the many unusual things about the law.
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Obviously poor people need to work harder to get out of poverty and quit having kids they canât afford.
What? Given them birth control? To hell with that, if youâre too poor to have kids, youâre too poor to have sex. Thereâs no right to have sex! [Unless youâre a male.] Besides, everyone knows, abstinence is best! [Again, unless youâre a male.] Itâs right there in the Bible!
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Gestational age is typically defined as the number of weeks since a womanâs last period, with conception usually occurring around week 2 or 3 and the pregnancy not being detectable by a drug store pregnancy test until week 5 or 6.
So yeah, by that metric 6 weeks means that the cutoff for an abortion is awfully dang close to the date that a person would become aware that theyâre pregnant, leaving virtually no time to thoughtfully make a decision, get an appointment, make arrangements to take time off work, etc.