COVID mortality

Yeah I missed that. I stopped reading once I read the misleading sentence. The italics stood out.

Oops, I forgot to link the blog post. I was busy.

There’s a spreadsheet at the link

Here are a few graphs, in addition to that table.

ALL the deaths (2019 v 2020)

And here’s the comparison when I remove the COVID deaths from 2020

aaaaand go to the “non-COVID” thread for the graphs on heart disease and cancer

2 Likes

2021 U.S. January-June Cause-of-Death Ranking Table

Is there an easy way for me to get a breakdown of car accidents vs other accidents?

Suicide is #3 for those 5-14?! It must be #1 for those 12-14, as I can’t imagine a lot of 6 year olds are killing themselves. That seems like it’s usually a post-adolescent issue.

(And yes, I see that the absolute number is small. But still.)

You can wait for me to do the post on accidents. :wink:

I will be breaking out motor vehicle accidents vs. drug ODs, as those are the two largest components for young adults.

2 Likes

Awesome; can’t wait! (Is that creepy/morbid?)

I’m guessing drowning is a material percentage of the accidents among 1-4 and maybe 5-14 too.

I would guess drowning and gunshots are the other two types of accidental death common enough to be worth splitting out.

for younger folks, yes.

Falls are the biggest category for old folks

Yes, of course.

I should update this graph, but I have this ready to go right now:

The reason I have this ready to go is that everybody is looking at earnings calls. Which is, of course, stated quarterly.

People forget what the quarterly pattern to the COVID waves were, because only financial reporting people actually care.

so yes, there were a lot more COVID deaths in 2021Q3 compared to 2020Q3, and I’m guessing 2021Q4 will come in low compared to 2020Q4, and 2022Q1 will be lower than 2021Q1. But those last two are just guesses. Remember there are death reporting lags, which is the second part everybody (meaning non-actuaries) forgets.

1 Like

That’s interesting that it is an accident. I mean, really for old people, a fall is almost a natural consequence of getting old and losing mobility/balance/strength. But I get why for consistency a fall would be an accident all the way through. (I know two young people - 29 and 45 - who died from falls that were definitely accidents. But my 94 yo neighbor it seemed like a “when” event.)

Falls sometimes happen when a hip breaks, which is somewhat common among the elderly. So if a hip breaks which causes a fall which causes other issues, which one is the real culprit?

Doesn’t a fall cause the hip to break, and then the patient does not recover?

I guess what you really want to know is if they fell with a broken hip or because of a broken hip.

7 Likes

Often, but not always.

So, there are all sorts of subcodes.

I just pulled them all: (these are ICD-10)

Falls ICD-10 code
Fall on same level involving ice and snow W00
Fall on same level from slipping, tripping and stumbling W01
Fall involving ice-skates, skis, roller-skates or skateboards W02
Other fall on same level due to collision with, or pushing by, another person W03
Fall while being carried or supported by other persons W04
Fall involving wheelchair W05
Fall involving bed W06
Fall involving chair W07
Fall involving other furniture W08
Fall involving playground equipment W09
Fall on and from stairs and steps W10
Fall on and from ladder W11
Fall on and from scaffolding W12
Fall from, out of or through building or structure W13
Fall from tree W14
Fall from cliff W15
Diving or jumping into water causing injury other than drowning or submersion W16
Other fall from one level to another W17
Other fall on same level W18
Unspecified fall W19

So not all the falls are related to a hip breaking. Most of the deaths related to falls get a code of W19 (unspecified), but the next most numerous is W18 – falls on same level (could be the hip-breaking), and then W10, falls on stairs. All of this could just be due to issues with balance and similar problems with aging.

Sometimes a fall causes a hip to break. Other times the hip breaks and as a result, the person falls.

1 Like

So… I shouldn’t add to what’s going on in here re: falls, but check this out:
Nor'easter: Man Drowns In NY After Falling Into Pool While Shoveling Snow | North Salem Daily Voice

So, I’m guessing that counts as a W00, but it also involves drowning. That’s a complicated one.