Canada <> US

Never seen milk in a bag in the States

I haven’t seen it in a while, but back in the 80s (perhaps, early 90s) we bought it that way (in MN).

In years past I looked at people like Berlusconi and wondered, “How could a supposedly advanced nation elect such a moron? Do they not care about their country?”

This was pre-2016. I don’t wonder anymore.

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Wasn’t this discussed in a thread a couple of years ago or am I stick in a time loop (or both)?

You have a phenomenal memory!

It could be Deja Vu.

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It could be Deja Vu.

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This one could end up with Canada paying put many billions of $$$

Can’t trust those University of Waterloo math grads? This kid has his masters there by age 19 but abused his talents.

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Interesting shift in Canadian Electoral polling due to Trump and his rhetoric.

It is interesting. However the Conservatives will still win a majority of seats even though their margin over the Liberals has decreased from 20% to 10%. That is a huge margin in Canadian politics given how the left wing vote gets split between the NDP and Liberals.

Some very favourable accomplishment by the Liberals will be needed before election day for them to make a close race of it.

I looked up 338canada, a prediction website, and as of 2/9 it had CPC getting 205 seats (172 needed). If they failed to get at least 172, are there other parties that would form a coalition with them, or would they all go with LPC?

Good question.

I can’t see the NDP supporting the CPC because of the ideological divide. Possibly the Quebec separatist party might but their asking price may be too great.

We had an interesting election in Australia 2010. Both major parties with their coalition partners got the same number of seats, so it was up to 6 independents to decide the outcome. After a few days, 4 went with the left wing party, which resulted in Julia Gillard becoming the first elected female PM of Australia.

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If the Bloc didn’t lend support to CPC, would that mean LPC+NDP would eventually be invited to form a government despite LPC not having a plurality of seats?

Would the prospect of an LPC+NDP coalition influence the Bloc to not be too difficult in finding an agreement with CPC?

The party with the plurality of seats is not always the party that ends up forming the government. It depends on the coalition the party is able to put together.

The Bloc Quebecois could be in a sweet position if none of the other parties have an outright majority. They would align with whomever offered them the best deal or maybe just support the government on a vote to vote basis.

This is probably academic as the odds of the Conservative Party not getting an outright majority are small.

So you’re telling me there’s a chance?

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I assume there’s an increasingly non-zero chance.

Oh…fwiw & fyi…The iem just a while ago opened a market for the Canadian elections.

As usual, they have two markets: winner-take-all & a proportional share.

Name Description
CON25_WTA $1 if the Conservative party wins the highest proportion of seats, $0 otherwise.
LIB25_WTA $1 if the Liberal party wins the highest proportion of seats, $0 otherwise.
ND25_WTA $1 if the New Democratic party wins the highest proportion of seats, $0 otherwise.
OTH25_WTA $1 if none of the named contracts has a payoff of $1, $0 otherwise.
Name Description
CON25_SS $1 times the proportion of seats won by the Conservative party
LIB25_SS $1 times the proportion of seats won by the Liberal party
ND25_SS $1 times the proportion of seats won by the New Democratic party
Other25_SS $1 times the proportion of seats won by all other parties

You might need an account to log in & read all about it – IEM - Iowa Electronic Markets.

I don’t know enough about what’s going on in the great white north, so I probably won’t be participating in this one.

Don’t see many of these in Canadaland.

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