2024 Fantasy Football

Alright congratulations to me in my league!

So, I’m reading this yahoo post by some yahoo.

He says this:

Let’s establish some bye week rules up front. I think it’s a folly to draft with a heavy lean into bye weeks.

Eh. I had three or four MIA players and got crushed exactly one week. Boo-hoo me. Still won a trophy.
Here are the Teams’ Bye Weeks by Bye Week:

Okay, the byes shake out this way:

I don’t know about you, but I want my players rested for MY playoff weeks, which are 15, 16, and 17. So, Assuming I make the playoffs with a week to spare (and possible, since I’ll have players playing every week before that, I think I’ll lean heavily on Week 14. If I am in need of more points for Week 14, I hope to know this before our trade deadline, and trade away some of those players for some who have already had their bye week. (In our league, we swap future draft spots, so teams out of it can get to work on the following year early.

Here is something a little more interesting in the article:

With that in mind, here are the “easy” September schedules, if that’s even knowable

  • Bengals: Patriots, at Chiefs, Commanders, at Panthers
  • Jets: at Niners, at Titans, Patriots, Broncos
  • Lions: Rams, Buccaneers, at Cardinals, Seahawks
  • Niners: Jets, at Vikings, at Rams, Patriots
  • Chargers: Raiders, at Panthers, at Steelers, Chiefs
  • Commanders: at Buccaneers, Giants, at Bengals, at Cardinals
  • Seahawks: Broncos, at Patriots, Dolphins, at Lions

The Lions have three home games bunch in here, which is nice. Washington’s start is mitigated some by three road games. After the Niners, the Jets take aim at three inexperienced quarterbacks.

Using the same methodology, here are the “hard” September schedules

  • Chiefs: Ravens, Bengals, at Falcons, at Chargers
  • Ravens: at Chiefs, Raiders, at Cowboys, Bills
  • Patriots: at Bengals. Seahawks at Jets, at Niners
  • Jaguars: at Dolphins, Browns, at Bills, at Texans
  • Falcons: Steelers, at Eagles, Chiefs, Saints
  • Vikings: at Giants, Niners, Texans, at Packers
  • Titans: at Bears, Jets, Packers, at Dolphins
  • Rams: at Lions, at Cardinals, Niners, at Bears

I would hope that someone can update this before my draft.

“Easy” Week 15-17 Schedules (weather is not factored in)

  • Chargers: Buccaneers, Broncos, at Patriots
  • Colts: at Broncos, Titans, at Giants
  • Cardinals: Patriots, at Panthers, at Rams
  • Falcons: at Raiders, Giants, at Commanders
  • Bengals: at Titans, Browns, Broncos
  • Packers: Rams, at Dolphins, Lions
  • Cowboys: at Panthers, Buccaneers, at Eagles
  • Saints: Commanders, at Packers, Raiders
  • Jaguars: Jets, at Raiders, Titans

“Hard” Week 15-17 Schedules (weather is not factored in)

  • Steelers: at Eagles, at Ravens, Chiefs
  • Texans: Dolphins, at Chiefs, Ravens
  • Browns: Chiefs, at Bengals, Dolphins
  • Lions: Bills, at Bears, at Niners
  • Dolphins: at Texans, Niners, at Browns
  • Giants: Ravens, at Falcons, Colts
  • Niners: Rams, at Dolphins, Lions

I would hope that someone can update this before my trade deadline.

So the strategy would be to draft easy September teams’ players, then trade for easy Weeks 15-17.

But, really, Fantasy is a lot about the defenses your players are playing that week and to make a good guess which players to play. Play specific RBs against shitter run defenses, play specific WR’s and TE against shittier pass defenses. Track the top Cornerbacks, and think about sitting your WR’s who are playing against them. And this is more about #2’s than one’s top RB or WR. I played CMcC every week I could. That was a no-brainer.

Weird Suggestion from me: Play as shitty as possible in Week 1, so you can pick up the surprise FA player from Week 1.
I’d like to think that ESPN’s projections take all this into account, but that is some black-box “trust me” program.

This doesn’t make too much sense:

After the Niners, the Jets take aim at three inexperienced quarterbacks.

Again, it makes no difference who the Jets’ Defense is playing against; it is who your Jets’ Offensive players are playing against.
And, when your players’ teams are way ahead, your WR’s get a lot fewer passes thrown at them. More RB work, though. So, pick RB’s from teams with better than average defenses. Also, pick RB’s that can catch passes and run well after catches.

Bump, for Draft on 8/24.
I’ll be hosting, as I hosted the Summer Meetings (drink, eat, discuss any changes people want to make, determine the randomly chosen draft order, etc.) in June. Need to do a bunch of hosting to make up for all the not hosting we’ve done here for the past 20 years. I’ll think of a decent menu, but it is mainly BYOB, for 12 people or so with differing tastes. Probably order in pizza, but I’d rather not. Night ends with a trip to a strip-to bikini bar to see some pathetic women who never had to learn anything in their lives.

So, whom do I draft? No idea. Don’t even recall my draft pick yet. but I will lean on picking players from the “easy early schedule” teams, then trade or WW players from the “easy late schedule” list. So, heavy on LAC and CIN players to keep all year.

You know you’ve done something right when these are your top 3 recommended trade targets…

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Which side of this trade do you like more in a 1/2PPR redraft league: Jaylen Warren or Nacua?

Background

I’m in an auction league where a friend went full hero strategy, spending all his money on some key positions and counting on backfilling the other positions on the cheap.. However, it’s a 12 team league with deep benches, so waiver wire options are slim. He spent his money on Josh Allen, CMC, Nacua, Evans, and LaPorta. He’s got a great core there, but is weak at RB2 and the flex. His other RB were Miles Sanders and Tracy, but after some waiver moves now they are Jeff Wilson, Bigsby, and Jamaal Williams. If CMC can’t go again he’s starting 2 of those guys. Nacua’s injury hit him hard too. He’s starting Keon Coleman and McConkey now at WR and flex.

Warren is my RB4, so I’d be giving up bench depth for a possible stud WR later in the season with some major risk on when he returns and how effective he bounces back.

I like the Nacua side. I assume I’m making the playoffs and Nacua would obviously improve my playoff lineup.

2 Likes

Somehow I ended up with Pat Mahomes and Travis Swift this year (and Xavier Worthy, who really lit up my bench last week along with Jordan Reed :sob:). I left 53 points on the bench last week and lost by about 50. :face_with_head_bandage:

I drafted Worthy and had him on my bench. While he racked up a big fantasy score, it was only on 3 touches that happened to go for 2 TD. As a result, I wasn’t too bullish on him. However, that changed with Hollywood Brown going on IR. He could be the beneficiary of more touches now. Will be interested to see if his targets go up.

In one league i am sitting with the following RBs
James Cook
Bijan Robinson
Brian Robinson
James Mason
Chuba Hubbard
Nick Chubb (IR slot)

My WR are shit

Find a team with shit RBs and too many WRs.
Make trade
???
Profit

Worthy with only 3 touches again. I’m hanging onto him of course, but he won’t start for me until he starts getting more targets. He’s a rookie, and it’s very likely he develops more trust from Mahomes as the season goes on.

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Considering dropping Travis Kelce from my team. Taylor Swift has absolutely ruined him.

I read somewhere they’re scheduled to break-up on the 28th of this month.

3 touches a game in that offense is 8 points as a floor in a PPR league. that’s a good floor

Trade him for some value.

I had two TE’s BOTH out this week. I picked up a TE that ended up with negative points.

The league where I have him is 1/2 PPR. He got 3.2 points for the 2 catches, 1 run. Only way that level of involvement starts there is if you are just hoping for a TD.

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from 0-2 in week 1 to 2-2 after week 2. High score in one league this week. last week’s despair replaced with a few days of over confidence. i feel great!

I took Kelce early last FF season. He was not even on my draft board this year, as there are now so many playable TEs.

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I had many players I liked in fantasy before the draft, but had 2 that I specifically targeted as guys going much later/lower than my expectations: Jayden Daniels and Rashee Rice. I doubled down on both and was feeling pretty good about that until today. I’m assuming Rice may be done for the year.

My league had a tie game this week. Not my team. The ones’ decimal point.
So naturally wondering how often this happens.
I think it is the first in our “modern era” of yardage, sonething this league started only… um, let me check my trophy which includes Final winners and the scores, 10 seasons. All done by hand before that, and for the first five years, it was whole numbers and you had to order your bench to break a tie.