EDITS 12/8
I don’t have ESPN+, but even without reading this article, the field is pretty much set.
In:
Oregon, win or lose.
Texas, win or lose.
PSU win or lose (if lose, they lost to tOSU and Oregon, so still in).
ND, without playing.
UGA if win. Could fall out with a blowout loss, then Miami is in.
tOSU, without playing.
UTenn, without playing.
Winner of Clem-SMU, loser is out. Clem won’t climb into top 11 if win, but SMU drops and everyone below moves up.
IU, without playing.
Winner of UNLV or BSU, loser is out. UNLV will not climb into top 12 if win, but BSU would drop, and everyone below moves up.
'bama without playing.
Winner of ASU-ISU. Should not climb into top 12, so Miami is out, even with losses that move them up a notch or two.
Mostly assuming that the Committee believes this current ranking includes all information they had as of 12/3/2024. New information regarding the past should not exist. I believe their public statement differs from this, though. “We examine the whole year every week.” Seems like a waste of time going over things that were already gone over.
Yes, I am wrong about Da-U. Forgot that if SMU, for example, loses, they’ll drop out of top 12 and Da-U will move up a notch. same with BSU.
I don’t see UGA being left out, even if they lose. Maaaaaybe if it’s a blowout, but I doubt even then
It’s not the Top12, it’s the Top7 after 5 Conference champs, meaning the winner of ASU/ISU will be in
So it’s pretty safe to say DaU, OleMiss, and USC-GC are all stuck on the outside
The only uncertainty for being in is Alabama, who could get left out (but won’t, cause ‘Bama) if Clemson beats SMU in a close game and they both go through
Agreed that UNLV would push BSU out of the CFP with a win, but that’s almost moot
Great hit though. Glad the flag was simply for targeting and upon review was reversed.
With how the first half ended, I want to point out that they lost about 40 seconds at the beginning of the game. The 2nd play, IIRC, where the receiver seemed to fumble the ball and TX recovered it for a loss. After the review they ruled it an incomplete pass but did not reset the clock. The clock showed 14:32 when the receiver dropped the ball but 13:53 when they stopped the clock to review the play. They never reset the clock and ran 2 more seconds off the clock before the snap of the ball (though it is my understanding that the clock on the ticker is not actually connected to the clock in the stadium so they may have ran the 2 seconds off before the snap to align them). But that was 40 or 41 seconds that were lost and would have extended the time at the end of the first half for whoever it was that was trying to score.
And besides the blown DPI against ASU, when the ruled Skattebo was out of the tacklebox when he threw that pass and it went past the line of scrimmage so it wasn’t intentional grounding, I’m not sure I fully understand that. It was a direct snap to Skattebo so he did qualify for the outside the tacklebox, beyond the line of scrimmage throw away as the QB (if he had received it as a handoff he would not have qualified), The ball was snapped on the left hashmarks and he was standing on the left hashmarks when he let go of the ball. Is there an exception for when you run outside the tacklebox but then run back into the tacklebox?
This morning the head of the committee indicated that the teams not playing would not change in order against each other no matter what happens with those who are playing. But teams that are playing could move up or down depending on the outcome of their games. Not sure if he was explicit with this but I thought he said for instance PSU could move down which could move Notre Dame up or down in the rankings, not that that would matter but it could be possible for PSU to drop below tOSU but that tOSU would not move ahead of Notre Dame as neither is playing so their ranking relative to each other is set.
That would mean there would have been virtually no way for Miami to move high enough to get in because if BSU had lost (which they didn’t) and BSU dropped below Miami, UNLV would still have been in the position to replace BSU ahead of Miami.
That’s what they say now. One year, if (when) that changes, the committee will have some after conference championship games, we decided to re-evaluate all teams based on their complete body of work and the performance of certain teams in championship games impacted the committee’s impression of some teams’ body of work statement.
'bama will be in. SMU had shittier losses (well, Vanderbilt…)
SMU still getting punished for their earlier transgressions.
Army had a shit schedule (cuz shit conference), and ND pounded them on a neutral field. And, not even done with their season!
EDIT: they could jump over Clemson, but I doubt it. They were unranked two polls ago.
Lots of whining out there about the playoffs. Some about SMU vs Alabama but even more about who got the byes.
But who set up the rules? The conference commissioners did. If you want a March Madness type tournament then you will have to let the NCAA run it and follow their rules of guaranteeing all conference champs an automatic bid. But with only 12 teams and 9 conference that doesn’t leave many at large. And even if you expand it to 16 teams you only have 7 at large and that would have only covered the B1G and SEC this year. Alabama would still be out but so would SMU.
And why were the rules set the way they were? $$$$ not to allow the best 12 teams a fair shot at a championship.
