Did you use an ARIMA model for that?
DEFAULT OPTION ACCEPTED BY DEFAULT
So far, so good.
Time to use those COFPs early and often!
For Week 2, please change J! E! T! S! JETS! JETS! JETS! to B! O! Y! S! BOYS! BOYS! BOYS!
Gangrene to Bos Taurus Rustlers.
Going into MNF, here are this week’s winning scenarios:
Saints, Browns - @redearedslider; Runners up: @Vorian_Atreides, @JudgeSmails
Saints, Steelers - @ldancer911; Runners up: @IPD, @3rookie
Panthers, Browns - @JudgeSmails
Panthers, Steelers - @ldancer911; Runner up: @3rookie
No VALSA this week.
Will it be @redearedslider & friends or @ldancer911 & friends?
Here are the results for week 2:
No. Player 13 ldancer911 11-5 14 IPD 11-5 17 3rookie 11-5 2 Funemployed 10-6 6 TheArbitrary 10-6 7 Carrie’s Carebears 10-6 8 Ezekial_Cumberland 10-6 10 Kid_Rock 10-6 11 redearedslider 10-6 12 Vorian_Atreides 10-6 15 JudgeSmails 10-6 16 Jahiegel 10-6 1 UltimateAnyone 9-7 3 OutdoormanNowActuary 9-7 4 PatientZombie 8-8 5 A695814 8-8 19 Conor Orr 8-8 9 Mountainhawk 7-9 18 Adam Ranks 7-9 98 zAll Home Teams 7-9
Congratulations to @ldancer911. (TWO WEEKS IN A ROW!!!) You won the the You’re Gonna’ Like the Pick You Made…I Guarantee It award: you may guarantee one matchup from Week 18 as a win.
The default will be to guarantee your Week 18 Titans over Jaguars pick. You may reject the default by posting your wishes in this thread, sending a pm to @1695814, or sending an email to actuary1695814 [at] gmail. If you choose to go your own way on this award, you must make your wishes known before kickoff of the coming Thursday game. Otherwise, the default will stand as your choice.
But wait – that’s not all! You, along with @IPD & @3rookie, have won the Change one future pick award: You may change one of your future picks. Use for any future week, but declare it before the kickoff of the game it affects. This award expires at the end of the season.
Given there was no sole last place player this week, there, again, will be no VALSA (VA’s Lion’s Share Award).
This week…
@Funemployed used a COFP to Change his Jets pick to the Cowboys.Hats off to Funemployed for his savvy COFP play. His pick-switch was like calling an audible for success!
Here are the overall results after week 2:
Place No. Player 1 13 ldancer911 21-11 65.63% 2 10 Kid_Rock 19-13 59.38% 3 11 redearedslider 19-13 59.38% 4 15 JudgeSmails 19-13 59.38% 5 16 Jahiegel 19-13 59.38% 6 6 TheArbitrary 18-14 56.25% 7 7 Carrie’s Carebears 18-14 56.25% 8 8 Ezekial_Cumberland 18-14 56.25% 9 12 Vorian_Atreides 18-14 56.25% 10 14 IPD 18-14 56.25% 11 17 3rookie 18-14 56.25% 12 1 UltimateAnyone 17-15 53.13% 13 2 Funemployed 17-15 53.13% 14 3 OutdoormanNowActuary 17-15 53.13% 15 4 PatientZombie 17-15 53.13% 16 5 A695814 16-16 50.00% 17 9 Mountainhawk 16-16 50.00% 18 18 Adam Ranks 16-16 50.00% 19 19 Conor Orr 15-17 46.88% 20 98 zAll Home Teams 13-19 40.63%
3/4 on the season.
AWARDS SUMMARY
| Wk | Award | Player | Wk applied to & How used | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PS | Change One Future Pick | UltimateAnyone |  |
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| Change One Future Pick | UltimateAnyone | |
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| Change One Future Pick | UltimateAnyone | |
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| Change One Future Pick | UltimateAnyone | |
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| Change One Future Pick | UltimateAnyone | |
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| Change One Future Pick | Funemployed | Wk 2 Change Jets to Cowboys |  |
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| Change One Future Pick | Funemployed | |
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| Change One Future Pick | Funemployed | |
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| Change One Future Pick | Funemployed | |
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| Change One Future Pick | Funemployed | |
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| Change One Future Pick | OutdoormanNowActuary | |
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| Change One Future Pick | OutdoormanNowActuary | |
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| Change One Future Pick | OutdoormanNowActuary | |
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| Change One Future Pick | OutdoormanNowActuary | |
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| Change One Future Pick | OutdoormanNowActuary | |
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| Change One Future Pick | PatientZombie | |
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| Change One Future Pick | PatientZombie | |
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| Change One Future Pick | PatientZombie | |
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| Change One Future Pick | PatientZombie | |
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| Change One Future Pick | PatientZombie | |
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| Change One Future Pick | A695814 | |
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| Change One Future Pick | A695814 | |
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| Change One Future Pick | A695814 | |
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| Change One Future Pick | A695814 | |
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| Change One Future Pick | A695814 | |
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| Change One Future Pick | TheArbitrary | |
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| Change One Future Pick | TheArbitrary | |
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| Change One Future Pick | TheArbitrary | |
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| Change One Future Pick | TheArbitrary | |
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| Change One Future Pick | TheArbitrary | |
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| 1 | I Guarantee It | ldancer911 | Wk 18 Guarantee Commanders over Cowboys | |
| Change One Future Pick | ldancer911 | |
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| 2 | I Guarantee It | ldancer911 | Wk 18 Guarantee Titans over Jaguars | |
| Change One Future Pick | ldancer911 | |
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| Change One Future Pick | IPD | |
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| Change One Future Pick | 3rookie | |
I wanna know what crazy person thought the Bears had a non-zero chance of winning @ KC???
Should be an auto COFP use at this point.
The winning percentages in the standings are calculated in a non-traditional way it would appear.
3 Likes
Seems pretty typical to me. Wins divided by Games. Then divide by 2 to get the average, as usual.
2 Likes
Not a person - trachemys scripta elegans
1 Like
The fix is in. The intern has been reprimanded. Avocado toast has been removed from the cafeteria menu. The price of ramen noodles has been doubled to $0.50 per packet. Interns need to learn a lesson that these kinds of mistakes will not be tolerated.
2 Likes
Guarantee Bucs/Panthers game please.
1 Like
noted & guaranteed.
I thought you would go with this one:
Guaaaaaaaranteeed
1 Like
sofa sogud
Going into MNF, here are is this week’s winning scenarios:
@OutdoormanNowActuary; Runner up: @TheArbitrary
Yeah, that’s right. Bengals over Rams is a(n) STP™, so it doesn’t really matter.
This week’s award is Lovable Losers. OutdorrmanNowActuary picked the Cardinals in Week 10 & that pick will be guaranteed for him. This will be made official after the Week 3 writeup.
No VALSA this week.