Nope. No matter when a real live GoA poster enters, they will always be ahead of the Orr, since Orr is not a GoA poster nor here to claim any awards or the big trophy at the end of the season…same with that other one.
Rank, initially n-2, moved up to n-3.
Mr. Gagnon’s predicted standings vs zConsensus:
AFC East
Bills 13 4 d = 0
Dolphins 10 7 d = -1
Jets 8 9 d = -3
Patriots 7 10 d = 3
AFC North
Bengals 13 4 d = -2
Ravens 11 6 d = -1
Steelers 7 10 d = -2
Browns 10 7 d = 3
AFC South
Jaguars 9 8 d = -3
Titans 7 10 d = 2
Colts 3 14 d = -1
Texans 5 12 d = 2
AFC West
Chiefs 12 5 d = -4
Chargers 9 8 d = -1
Broncos 9 8 d = 0
Raiders 6 11 d = -2
NFC East
Eagles 12 5 d = -3
Cowboys 12 5 d = 0
Giants 7 10 d = 0
Commanders 8 9 d = 6
NFC North
Lions 10 7 d = 0
Bears 6 11 d = -2
Vikings 8 9 d = 0
Packers 8 9 d = 1
NFC South
Saints 9 8 d = -1
Falcons 7 10 d = 1
Panthers 8 9 d = 2
Buccaneers 6 11 d = 5
NFC West
49ers 13 4 d = -3
Seahawks 9 8 d = 0
Rams 7 10 d = 3
Cardinals 3 14 d = 1So . . . your display is showing that Mr. Gagnon is predicting 10 few wins for the AFC than zConsensus and 10 more wins for the NFC?
Or the other way around?
Entries are closed. Preseason awards to follow after I find where the intern saved the tps reports.
Here is the finalized list of participants:
Another look at our Hall of Fame members:
This year’s preseason awards:
They’re called “preseason” because it’s before the seasoning has been applied, so they’re noticeably bland.
Going into the night game, here are the Week 1 winning scenarios…
Cowboys, Bills - @PatientZombie; Runners up: @Mountainhawk, @JudgeSmails, @Jahiegel
Cowboys, Jets - @ldancer911
Giants, Bills - @OutdoormanNowActuary
Giants, Jets - @OutdoormanNowActuary; Runners up: @Ezekial_Cumberland, @ldancer911; VALSA: @IPD
1 Like
I keep telling myself I need to adjust my model!!
1 Like
Before we get to the Week 1 results, let’s check in on the pick-correlation between our top two winningest members:
TheArbitrary-PatientZombie Correlation Report:
| year | match | differ | pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | 194 | 62 | 0.758 |
| 2010 | 183 | 73 | 0.715 |
| 2011 | 190 | 66 | 0.742 |
| 2012 | 182 | 74 | 0.711 |
| 2013 | 144 | 112 | 0.563 |
| 2014 | 190 | 66 | 0.742 |
| 2015 | 206 | 50 | 0.805 |
| 2016 | 214 | 42 | 0.836 |
| 2017 | 220 | 36 | 0.859 |
| 2018 | 222 | 34 | 0.867 |
| 2019 | 216 | 40 | 0.844 |
| 2020 | 224 | 32 | 0.875 |
| 2021 | 233 | 39 | 0.857 |
| 2022 | 240 | 32 | 0.882 |
| 2023 | 237 | 35 | 0.871 |
| — | — | — | — |
| ttl | 3095 | 793 | 0.796 |
Happy loss
1 Like
Here are the results for week 1:
No. Player 13 ldancer911 10-6 4 PatientZombie 9-7 9 Mountainhawk 9-7 10 Kid_Rock 9-7 11 redearedslider 9-7 15 JudgeSmails 9-7 16 Jahiegel 9-7 18 Adam Ranks 9-7 1 UltimateAnyone 8-8 3 OutdoormanNowActuary 8-8 5 A695814 8-8 6 TheArbitrary 8-8 7 Carrie’s Carebears 8-8 8 Ezekial_Cumberland 8-8 12 Vorian_Atreides 8-8 2 Funemployed 7-9 14 IPD 7-9 17 3rookie 7-9 19 Conor Orr 7-9 98 zAll Home Teams 6-10
Congratulations to @ldancer911. With the 10-6 record you’ve won Week 1 and established yourself as the front-runner of this prestigious pursuit. For your prognostication prowess I present you with the You’re Gonna’ Like the Pick You Made…I Guarantee It award: you may guarantee one matchup from Week 18 as a win.
The default will be to guarantee your Week 18 Guarantee Commanders over Cowboys. You may reject the default by posting your wishes in this thread (preferred), sending a pm to @1695814 (acceptable), or sending an email to actuary1695814 [at] gmail (might get lost). If you choose to go your own way on this award, you must make your wishes known before kickoff of the coming Thursday game. Otherwise, the default will stand as your choice.
But wait – that’s not all! You have also won the Change one future pick award: You may change one of your future picks. It may be used for any future game, but must be declared before the kickoff of the game it affects. There is no obligation to use the COFP award, and it expires at the end of the season.
2023 Rodger’s Rupture…
2 Likes
Very weird week to start off the season
1 Like
My analysis indicates that by 2033 your picks will become identical
1 Like