2020 Electoral College Predictions Discussion

Pittsburgh and Detroit more places where they’ve barely even begun counting.

Kanye West has more votes for President in my state than the Green Party.

Joe Biden speaking. He sounds optimistic that he’s still going to win. yeah, idk Joe, but I like your optimism. I hope you’re right.

Georgia looking more interesting. I had written it off.

is it? i’m so confused here.

Maybe election results should get dragged out. Maybe people will take the loss of their candidate easier if they don’t know until 2-3 days later.

Or 2-3 years, maybe?

FL called for Trump. MN called for Biden.

WI currently showing Trump up, but lots of Milwaukee votes outstanding and a decent chunk of mail-in votes also out. Reports are that Trump has largely underperformed the WOW counties around Milwaukee and did not make up for that elsewhere.

:astonished: Georgia now tipping toward Biden per the NYT. It was as much as 88% Trump earlier, now pointing 67% Biden. And that’s with Trump at +7.2 (~300K) right now based on votes tallied. If that comes through and AZ stands, then it’s all over regardless of what WI and MI do.

:astonished: GO JOE GO!!!

:iatp:

Fox News says they think Biden has a good chance to win WI. If it goes, it’s likely MI follows and there’s a growing feeling that he’s in good shape in PA.

But if he claws back NC or GA, then PA isn’t a deciding point.

Senate is a jump ball. Democrats are to 47 (they’ll get MN and AZ) and should get MI even though they trail right now. Cunningham lags Tillis in NC but outstanding votes might pull him over; Gideon trails Collins in early returns in ME. Ernst survived in IA, Graham survived in SC. They need both NC and ME to get to 50 and then Harris can be the tie-break if they don’t get either GA seat. I don’t see MT or AK coming through; if either does, it’ll be a shock.

… and there it is, the tweet from Trump claiming the election is being stolen.

So maybe we get a Dem Presidency but keep a GOP Senate to restrain it’s worst impulses? Not such a bad outcome.

I thought I was doing good at not having expectations going into this, but I now realize I was really expecting it to be a blowout for Biden, so bad that we could call him the winner tonight.

Now I’m in a weird place where even if Biden pulls this off, it won’t make me feel a lot better. I can’t believe it’s this close. Sick to my stomach.

Poles. My sweet lord.

My prediction was a Dem presidency and a 50-50 Senate with the Dem VPOTUS as tie-breaker. Which mostly still accomplishes that as the Dems can’t afford to lose even their most right-leaning Senator. We’ll see.

:weary:

I refuse to be your god.

I’m saddened that over 40% of this country still thinks another 4 years of this shitshow would be a good idea.

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