United States Presidential & Congressional Election 2024

Well, just how big is the IT staff at your BoE? My money is on zero. They just “outsource” it to someone, who is likely somehow related to a board member. God only knows how qualified they are.

This is all the result of Reagan’s push to shrink the government, a mantra of the party ever since. No more Employees. Just let the private sector do it so much better, amirite?

Sounds great, but then we watch as the experts turn out to be turds with connections. Especially at the local levels. Everything from road construction/repair to things like your mailing problem. It’s the USA version of corruption. Not illegal,per se, but what I refer to as leakage. Tax dollars going to cronies and relatives. It’s everywhere.

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Yep. Add to this the lowest bid wins the government contract where if the RFP is written poorly you get crap that barely works.

And so it begins…er continues:

https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/trump-claims-2024-will-be-rigged-putting-republican-turnout-at-risk-830b213d?st=99u7jxgykqpiyuz&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink

Moreno (MAGA candidate) won comfortably in the OH Senate primary, beating the traditional Republican candidate 50-33. Not surprised he won, somewhat surprised by margin. Polling earlier this week had Moreno up 44-40, last week had Dolan up.

On the Presidential side, Trump got just under 80% despite everyone else having withdrawn. Haley was around 14%. In exit polls, a good chunk of the non-Trump vote said that they won’t support him in the general election either.

What is “a good chunk”? If 14% of Ohio Republicans vote for Biden then Biden will carry Ohio.

My mom’s BF says that Moreno is SO corrupt that Sherrod Brown (the incumbent Democratic Senator whose seat we are talking about) prefers to face Moreno in the general as he would be easier to defeat than Frank LaRose (who apparently has a lot of problems, but does admit that Biden won in 2020).

If Ohio votes for both Trump and Brown… I just don’t even know. I believe that Trump endorsed Moreno, so it would be weird to vote for Trump for POTUS but not his hand-picked guy for Senate.

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Unless people just show up, fill in the bubble for Trump, and then don’t vote in the rest of the races.

Like I could maybe see:
Trump: 3,000,000
Biden: 2,900,000

Brown: 2,850,000
Moreno: 2,800,000

That could happen with zero Trump/Brown voters.

CNN exit polling: 65% of OH GOP primary voters said Biden didn’t legitimately win the election.

It continues to bug me that Trump’s Agenda47 page has 46 talking points. Like could you just do 1 more?

And of those 46 points, 8 of them are about getting rid of woke education / trans kids / supporting home schooling, while 0 are about balancing the budget or reducing the deficit.

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That’s better than I’d have guessed but I assume primary voters have higher average intelligence & education than general election voters so maybe not shocking.

And there’s probably some crossovers: Democrats who voted a Republican ballot because there’s not much interesting happening on the Democratic side (Joe Biden and Sherrod Brown are both running unopposed.)

But turnout was so low it’s hard to draw conclusions. If even 5% of Ohio Republicans vote for Joe Biden that would swing the state. But it’s unclear how 35% of GOP primary voters thinking Biden did or might have won will translate in November.

He does talk about that briefly. He’s going to do more tax cuts to cut the deficit

“I will use the president’s long-recognized Impoundment Power to squeeze the bloated federal bureaucracy for massive savings. This will be in the form of tax reductions for you. This will help quickly to stop inflation and slash the deficit."

Truly he has a dizzying intellect.

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I think the fact that Trump and his kids / Republican co-chair daughter-in-law have all said that they don’t want traditional Republicans in the party anymore, that it is MAGA only, should get more attention.

I also think it is should get more attention that the Republican Presidential nominees from 2000, 2004, and 2012, along with the family of the late 2008 nominee, have declined to endorse Trump and / or said that they will vote against him. As have the VP nominees from 2000, 2004, 2012, 2016, and 2020, with one calling Trump the single most dangerous threat to American. Plus a ton of Trump’s own cabinet members and White House chiefs of staff have said that they won’t support him.

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It’d be good to know if they voted for him in the 2020 general or if they voted D/voted 3rd party/stayed home.

The swamp hates Trump because he wants to drain it, Duh.

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There’s a whole bunch of W staffers on Team Biden too.

overly optimistic. Many of them will most likely not vote. Still good for Biden, just not as good

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Means a little if they sit at home. Would mean a whole lot more if they said “I’m willing to cross party lines this time to vote and make sure he doesn’t get elected.”

Ah, yes. The Impoundment Power. That’s the one in Article 8, Section 3, right after Section 2 where just 11 years after declaring independence from a country ruled by a king, whose model they vehemently rejected in favor of a representative form of government where all in government were held accountable, the Founding Fathers enshrined the absolute immunity of the President to do whatever he wants.

Or worse they will come back to the Republican candidate and do the proverbial hold the nose and vote for Trump anyway.

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true - primaries are a place to make statements. It doesn’t make as much sense in the election.

I wondered about Paul Ryan… he was what I didn’t like about College Republicans when I was in college. (We didn’t technically overlap, but he was a staffer for a little known junior House member from the next district over*, and he’d been a mover & a shaker in College Republicans as a student, so he was still around.)

Glad to see that Ryan resisted the MAGA cult. I also think it’s safe to say that Jack Kemp and Ronald Reagan would have had they been alive … and of course Dan Quayle is the one who advised Pence to certify Biden as the winner.

I think you left out George HW Bush in your calculus but he also snubbed Trump.

*John Boehner