United States Presidential & Congressional Election 2024

Trump addressed the Californian Republican Convention today.

They say that there is so much water up north that I want to have the overflow areas go into your forests and dampen your forests because if you dampen your forests you’re not going to have these forest fires that are burning at levels that no one has ever seen before.

was met with loud applause.

I mean, not only did his dumb ass brain think that that made sense, but people in the audience somehow thought it made sense too.

He also said that he would win California if there were a fair election with no mail in voting, mocked Nancy Pelosi’s husband for being attacked, said that people in Beverly Hills leave their cars unlocked so that thieves won’t break the windows when stealing the tires from the cars, and also don’t smell good b/c they have to take short showers to save water, threw in some transphobic skits that don’t even make sense, said shoplifters should be shot when leaving the store, and probably a lot of other dumb shit that I’m forgetting.

Edit: forgot that he said he gave a speech this week to UAW members. He actually gave his speech at a non-union plant, and someone hired people to pretend to be union members in the audience.

But Biden is the one with cognitive problems.

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He probably thinks that it will be easy, since going south is all downhill…

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Today from Ottumwa IA, a very stable genius said:

But if I’m sitting down, and that boat’s going down, and I’m on top of a battery, and the water starts flooding in. I’m getting concerned. But then I look 10 yards to my left and there’s a shark over there. So I have a choice of electrocution or shark. You know what I’m going to take? Electrocution. I will take electrocution every single time. Do we agree? I will take electrocution.

I don’t know the context. I do know his anti electrical vehicle stance includes being against batteries on boats b/c of electrocution fears, as no one has ever made sealed electrical engines for boats, or even used them in submarines.

Maybe he’s worried about toasty torpedos?

Summary

https://youtu.be/7LQpRQh2KSQ?feature=shared

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That sounds similar to Herschel walkers thoughts on vampires vs werewolves.

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Help me out here, what’s RFK Jr’s deal? He is a dem on paper but won’t get the nomination, so it appears he will launch a bid as an independent.

According to polling data (link below), he is relatively more popular amongst republicans than democrats. And he was in Georgia recently, which Biden narrowly won in 2020. Is he stacking the deck a bit in Joe’s favor? And, if so, is this intentional?

He really should run in the Republican Primary.
He likely could win it.

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His political positions are arguably more D than R, given the pre-Trump orientation of the D/R axis.

The operative words in that sentence are “pre-Trump”. Since Trump came down the golden escalator to declare his candidacy in 2015, the D/R axis has tilted to reflect that conspiracy theory wingnuts have gained power in the R party.

RFK Jr. is a good example of why viewing politics on a single axis is problematic: he’s a conspiracy theory wingnut who otherwise fits better with the D’s.

It’s that wingnuttiness that makes him more attractive to some R’s.

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He doesn’t fit easily in either party. some of this positions are more democratic others more republican.

But he’s a bit of a conspiracy nut job, especially on the vaccine issues, so he appeals to the lunatic fringe n both parties.

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Yeah, I’ve wondered this too. At this point I’m not sure anyone knows who he would spoil.

He probably appeals more to Republicans, but also Republicans are more devoted to Trump.

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My anti-vaxx right leaning brother loves him.

My working theory is he will get few dem votes, because dem’s primary motivation is keeping Trump out.

I suspect there are more centrist or right leaning voters that are tired of Trump, don’t like Biden, and might toss him a protest vote.

But who knows?

He needs to come on stage, remove his mask, and reveal that he is really JFK Jr. Then the MAGAs will fall on their faces and worship him.

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As I wrote earlier, some state laws do not allow a candidate to run as an independent if they already ran in a primary, unless they win the party’s nomination. Not sure if this applies to Presidential elections though. It did prevent Liz Cheney from running as an independent to retain her seat.

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Must vary a lot by state as Murkowski won as a write in candidate after losing her state’s party primary.

Note that Murkowski had to run on a write-in basis. She didn’t have access to be listed on the ballot.

I imagine that in most states, RFK Jr. could still be an independent write-in candidate if ran in but lost party primaries.

Would there not be a gut reaction by Republicans to NOT support anyone who was related to JFK, RFK or Ted Kennedy?

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There are some GOP voters that would hold his relationship to JFK/RFK/Teddy against him, but his family name wouldn’t exclude him from party candidacy if he held generally Republican views.

However, his most Republican views are his belief in conspiracy theories. His non-conspiracy political positions would cost him votes among non-wingnut Republicans.

EDIT: Of course, if he was running against Trump, Trump would absolutely use the Kennedy family against RFK Jr., and Trump’s cultists would wholly buy into such thinking.

I don’t know the count of stated by rule, but it certainly differs by state.

Alaska obviously allows it (see: Lisa Murkowski)
Wyoming obviously doesn’t (see: Liz Cheney)

The other 48 states? Dunno.

I’ve heard this before…but Wyoming’s law appears to be silent on qualification to be an acceptable write-in candidate, and a web search does turn up a few editorials from Wyoming randos asking people to write-in Cheney.

While I can easily believe a state passing a law or having a reg saying you aren’t an acceptable write-in candidate if you lost a primary, and there are certainly states that have ballot access deadlines for non-major-party candidates early enough to exclude those who are running for major party nomination…I’d be interested in seeing a citation about what prevented Liz from running as a write-in.

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On here I thought it was discussed that she was prevented from running as an independent.