not sure that is true. They still had a lot of nominees
2 Likes
Thereâs no need to cancel anything. Voters spoke and I think they will continue to speak. Independent election deciding voters want plans not grievances. Independent voters do not want to fight culture wars are.
2 Likes
In fact, i think the Democrats outperformed expectations because they offered plans (âi will protect abortion rightsâ) rather than grievances (âtrump should have wonâ).
2 Likes
Didnât you say a few weeks ago the democrats have no message?
1 Like
He disagrees with the message, so he thinks it doesnât exist.
This despite the vast majority of those casting votes this election voting for the Democratâs message.
This is good.
And, as a bonus, pundits wonât spend the next three weeks telling us that the fate of the free world depends on one runoff in Georgia. I wonder how many fewer dollars will be spent.
But it probably increases the chance Walker goes to the Senate.
3 Likes
I donât think he disagrees with it as much as it isnât an exciting message that fires up people.
I donât know that it increases Walkerâs chances. I think perhaps some GOP folks that donât particularly care for Walker might have held their nose and voted for him if it meant control of the Senate. Some of those may not show up now.
2 Likes
Yes, thatâs certainly true, but will the race less important it will also be harder to energize Warnockâs supporters.
1 Like
I donât think it is clear either way. You say âharder to energize Warnockâs supportersâ. Why not âharder to energize Walkerâs supportersâ?
But, hopefully, harder to energize donors on both sides.
They have plans, but not a message. The Republicans had a message and no plan. People are paying more attention than I thought.
Perhaps Iâm just projecting, but I think most Warnock supports are PRO-Warnock. But they may not care strongly enough to vote if the race is not so critical. The general phenomenon that midterm elections traditionally have had smaller turnout.
I have trouble believing any significant number of voters is PRO-Walker. But there could be enough who are PRO-Republican that they will turn out and vote. Maybe some of them showing up to try to save something for Trumpâs candidates.
Isnât the plan also the message?
Still a big incentive to win Georgia so much will be spent. Dems should want to have 51 rather than 50 seats so that any one Dem Senator (e. g. Manchin) can not derail their legislative agenda. Converse true for GOP.
2 Likes
This is going to be a real show of how disgusting the republican voters in Georgia are.
Any vote for Walker canât be blamed on a just a party line vote, since they were there voting for Kemp or some other stupid excuse.
A vote for Walker now is a vote supporting everything about him.
And i predict he will win.
You are giving him too much credit.
Georgia demographics are changing. Still a red state, but the ATL zone is growing. Used to be mostly the city that went blue, but the suburbs are pretty blue now. 2016 v 2022
1 Like
For election nerds following the AZ gubernatorial, the most red-favorable and decisive drop from Maricopa country is coming any moment now.
1 Like
Vote drop was 54/45 for Kari Lake, when she needed closer to 60/40. Hobbs still has a lead of 15k with just over 100k uncounted. I think itâs safe to say Dems are going to win the AZ governorship.
ETA: looks like Hobbsâ current margin is 26k not 15k, so yeah, Hobbs should win this one.
6 Likes