There’s only 17 counties… wouldn’t be hard to just extrapolate the county results but I’m on my phone right now so I’m not going to do that.
Extrapolating Clark County would flip it to the Dem by 1,529 votes. But some of the other counties are pretty lopsided and also not done counting.
That would be my assumption.
Meanwhile, in the Iowa Electronic Markets, Senate22 contract, some numbnuts has bid up the “Democrats hold 50 Senate seats plus the Vice Presidency”. The problem for this trader is that, for purposes of this market, Messrs. Sanders & King are considered "Independent"s and are not "Democrat"s. I only wish I had more money in there to take advantage of their inability to read.
Fewer if you only count the ones that have people in them…
Ftx investors need a new place to play
Heartwarming video (for those on the D side) of the senatorial race in PA -
I love hoodies. Definitely would have voted for Fetterman. Wonder if he has any sneakers?
“We are all disappointed that a Red Wave failed to materialize, and there are multiple reasons it did not,” the three senators said. “We need to have serious discussions within our conference as to why and what we can do to improve our chances in 2024.”
These guys are so oblivious that they are a big part of the problem with their party.
Is it true that in some states ballots are still arriving? That feels fundamentally weird to me, that the current count could be made public while an undetermined amount of ballots are still outstanding and not yet in possession of election officials.
Feels actuarial.
If it’s the case that all ballots must already have been postmarked, I fall to see an issue.
Nice to see Blake Masters/Peter Thiel lose. Kudos to Arizona voters.
Looks like floor for Ds is 212, floor for Rs is 217, with 6 races still too close to know. So even in event of likely R majority here, margins for any House vote are going to be razor thin.
https://mobile.twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1591432128700596224
There’s no “ballot security” issue, but i think it’s weird, too, to have ballots still trickling in. I’d prefer the “must be received by” date were election day. My town has convenient drop-off boxes and early voting, and the state has a website where you can verify your mailed/dropped-off ballot was accepted, and allows you to vote on election day if your ballot hasn’t been accepted. That seems like adequate access without needing to accept ballots literally mailed on election day.
I think it’s fine to let them trickle in at the end. If the election isn’t close it won’t matter, but if the last few votes would tip the balance I’d hate to see people disenfranchised just because of slow postal service which is not in their control. Yes you can still vote on election day if your ballot hasn’t arrived yet, but that is a lot of extra hoops to jump through for voters who may have been voting by mail because access to the polls is difficult. What about military votes coming from overseas? Those take a while to come in sometimes and I rarely hear complaints about that.
Yeah, it surely costs less to just get ‘em counted too, and also seems more secure. There are elections observers on election night. Now???
I am not in favor of allowing the postmarked ballots … at least not without good reason. Mail it early or drop it off if you’re local.
This makes sense to me. In the event you wait until the last minute to mail your vote or are just concerned with the time it takes to mail, then you can use the drop box.
Another question I have is around postmark security. To my knowledge, it’s just a regular stamp with regular ink, but perhaps some additional security could be placed around it to make it not trivially easy to fake. With the prevalence of mail-in ballots, surely there are a lot of mail-in ballots which were not completed and/or mailed prior to election day.
No matter what the cutoff, there’s always a risk that the post office will lose or delay your ballot past the final date. If you mail the ballots early enough and set the “mail by” date early enough that almost all ballots will have arrived, it doesn’t much matter whether the cut off mail date is election day or some other day, except for the weirdness of waiting for votes to trickle in late.
I don’t see any real risk here. There’s never a reason why you’d prefer your ballot be mailed later, and no one gets to vote more than once. At the very worst, a couple of procrastinators who are friendly with the postal clerk might get to vote even though they forgot on election day. And even that seems unlikely.
wsj is reporting that Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly Wins Re-Election in Arizona