I do recall hearing a story during a previous election of Dems bidding up the contracts of Dem candidates to make them appear to be doing better…in order to influence coverage…I can’t vouch for the veracity of the story nor my memory of it, so take it for what it’s worth.
Yeah, it’s too bad. That would have been awesome.
It is not worth it to me to spend anything on those contracts just for appearances.
And I certainly hope that I haven’t given the impression that it should be. I merely use those numbers because they’re there & more accurate than other methods (except when they’re not).
Oh weird. I don’t look at betting markets much. I mainly look at polling data. The latest three polls for the NC Senate race ranged from Even to D+4. In NV, the latest three polls ranged from R+2 to D+6.
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But it is still a great opportunity for others to troll him with the signs.
It’s currently 50-50, right?
So if the Rs pick up 2 and lose none, wouldn’t that make it 52-48?
Or did you forget to list that the Dems pick up PA in this? Something else?
Your prior post had this inconsistency in the “Best case scenario for Rs” as well except the numbers were different.
this.
I also need an intern
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IFYP?
Also, isn’t this a Huey Lewis song?
Evan McMullin (remember him? The guy that got 21% of the vote in Utah in the 2016 Presidential election?) is now running for Senate.
He’s running as an Independent again, but he has the “backing” of the Democratic Party, which is interesting. I’m not quite sure what that means. I think in 2016 he was essentially positioning himself as a non-insane conservative who would be a Republican if not for Trump.
So I guess the Dems are backing him as a less objectionable alternative to Mike Lee? McMullin has said he will not caucus with the Republicans OR the Democrats.
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I think you basically have the idea. The dems have no chance. Lee is terrible. The dems are backing a longshot, but at least it’s a possibility.
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Makes me wonder how each “side” will hear this.
Version 1: “Well, if he’s not caucusing for them, I can support that!”
Version 2: “Well, if he’s not going to caucus for us, then I can’t support that!”
Well best of luck to him then.
fwiw, predictit gives him about a 13% chance to win right now.
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GA Senate race was about 60-40 for the D. Today it’s ~50-50. I see some news that polls have come out putting Walker ahead of Warnock.
I don’t yet see it on Politics News | Breaking Political News, Video & Analysis-ABC News - ABC News but here are the headlines that show up on a google search:
Herschel Walker just fired his political director
I’m shocked to learn he had one.
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There’s so much $ tied up in this race.Campaign ads for both sides run non stop. Senate race has moderately more ads than the race for Governor.
Heh, that would actually be an extremely challenging job, I think.