Are you still alive in survivor? Starting a thread to discuss weekly picks.
For week 4, I think everyone will be all over GB v NE. I tend to try to avoid the crowd favorite, but this one is tasty. PHI v JAX will probably be the 2nd most popular. The only others with some popularity are likely LAC@HOU or DET vSEA. I’m not touching Detroit this week.
WAS has been pretty awful so I’d be a little tempted to take DAL v WAS, but that one is riskier than the others.
survivorgrid.com has CIN as the highest EV pick on the board this week. They are -3.5% v MIA. That’s a little surprising that a spread that small is the highest EV, but the 1.6% picked is driving that. More people are picking MIA this week than CIN. Don’t think I want to touch that
I’m not sure that LAC is a good choice given that one of their key defensive players is out and Herbert is likely still recovering from the rib injury . . . and they’re on the road.
As for a winner, DAL looks like the best “bet” (without looking at what Vegas is putting out).
At the moment I am on PHL as the crowd is so heavily in favor of GB. I think GB should roll, but can’t resist the chance to bet again against a pool clearing event.
While I don’t think Belichick is likely to have this lot coached up, I’m with you on trying to win it right now if you can given you know the way the others are betting.
look, I’m a huge patriots homer. But they are underperforming already and are going to play with Hoyer throwing 4 yds per attempt. GB is winning this week and the only question is do they cover the 10 points. TEN
so the patriots covered. but watching the last two possessions in OT (new england wheezing out and GB marching down the field like it was a walk through) and i couldn’t understand how that game went to OT
NE had their chance in OT after forcing a GB 3 and out and getting the ball around midfield. But the play calls were conservative. Probably the only bad thing I have to say about the NE game plan/coaching that day.
Oof. Looks like I’m probably out. I think it was still the right decision to avoid BUF this week given how the field was on them, but I should have gone with my other suggestion.