Iranian protests/revolution

the article says iranians were called on “to sacrifice” for the homeland. that does not, to me, automatically imply martyrdom.

in the most extreme, for the people who are most extreme already, sure, they could read it that way. such folks were already willing and possibly doing bad shit already

I don’t sense the same level of rage towards Trump for these inflationary issues as we saw directed towards Biden, even though the cause of it seems much more directly related to Trump (tariffs, Iran, and poor fiscal policy) vs Biden (poor fiscal policy, COVID).

That Fox News rage machine has created a lot of asymmetry in public opinions.

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Oil just climbed to $120/barrel

Markets are beginning to price in the long-term risks of Hormuz being shut down.

We’re buying a new house so moved a bunch of money from S&P to tbills…. The bubble has my permission to pop now

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Having a civil nuclear program is a right under international law.

Neither the US or Israel have any standing on restricting those rights for Iran.

Thats basically a non-starter and its why the US/Israel axis is not negotiating in good faith.

Obama understood this, which is why he focused on limiting (and checking) enrichment levels while promoting civil nuclear power in Iran.

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You mean with the farce of an inspection process that was basically controlled by Iran instead of not-Iran?

You do realise you are talking about military sites right?

That has bupkis to do with the right under international law to run a civil nuclear program.

It would be analogous to the world demanding access to sensitive US nuclear military sites like Los Alamos, Sandia, Lawrence-Livermore etc

It just isn’t going to happen due to national security concerns (which also applies to Iran)

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Well, except the difference is Iran had pledged not to have a military nuclear program.

The past inspection regime wasn’t perfect, but it was better than what we have now.

And how do we enforce making sure that the one isn’t a cover for the other? We take an evil regime that enjoys lying at their word? They self-report? :roll_eyes:

Unannounced full access to anything any time or gtfo. The burden is on the evil ones to prove that they’re not secretly trying to be evil. Evil regimes who can’t be trusted don’t get to keep secrets.

It’s the lack of meaningful enforcement that makes people’s affinity for Obama’s Iran deal bewildering to me.

You’re talking about the U.S.?

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:roll_eyes: No.

By all accounts the deal was working as expected. Why would Iran ever willingly agree to “meaningful enforcement”, if that means what I think it means?

After pulling out of the Obama deal why would they ever trust us again?

Agree that the Iranian regime is horrible for everyone, especially the Iranian people, but the current approach only makes the regime stronger. I can’t imagine what the Trump people think the endgame looks like. It’s obvious to pretty much all observers that we are in a much worse situation than with Obama deal.

I’m being bombarded with posts with “higher gas prices are worth it when this is the alternative” and then showing Iran nuking the US. So it’s not just a lack of rage, it is actively justifying high prices.

GOP is beginning to panic at this point. November is looking really bad for them now.

The way they wrote it, it sounds like the price is 1.045 * 123 = 128+.

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When is the next taco coming? Trying to decide if i should lock in my 40-50% gains on my energy etf since i missed my opportunity in March. Actually better now that my most recent lot was purchased in April 2025 and rolled over to a LT gain.

It does sound like Trump thought it would be easy, like swatting a giant hornet nest with a baseball bat and then expecting the hornets to just follow their nest into the trash bag without stinging. The nest ultimately needed to be removed, but I would agree that his approach leaves much to be desired.

This is why I hate the idea of a President with no military experience.

I don’t think the problem is “a President with no military experience” as much as “a President who won’t seek and heed advice from military experts”.

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True. Even good kings listen to their advisors.

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Wait, real people are saying this? Like, out loud? :grimacing: