Innumeracy

I think there exists a range that is later than “on time” but less than 30 minutes late that they don’t list.

I’m not positive, but yeah it’s dumb that they don’t make it clearer.

How does it have only 988 miles flown? Even on super short routes, that’s just a couple flights, not enough to have 8% or 85% be options.

Good point.

I assume you’re joking, right?

Yup, A14 (arrival within 15 mins of schedule) is the industry definition of on-time

But they should use 0% for +60 min not N/A (or some business genius decided N/A sounded better than 0% cuz that’s what they teach at harvard biz school)

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Probably something to do with bots.

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That “gap” could be the undisclosed column for “+15 early” . . .
:man_shrugging:t4:

:iat:shrug::

From the Iowa State Fair


Probably not innumeracy per se…

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You get a discount if you drink more Kool-Aid

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Haha, I just noticed that. Was confused for a minute.

Not innumeracy itself, but maybe trying to appeal to innumeracy?

It’s like those candies that advertise that they are a ‘fat free food’.

Emphasis added.

From a WaPo article about three siblings being born on the same day of the year (in three different years) -

Roger Heath-Brown emeritus professor of pure mathematics at Oxford University, told the Daily Mail in 2010 that the odds of three siblings having the same birth date were 48,627,125 to 1.

I can’t be bothered working out the answer but according the my calculations, 365^3 = 48,627,125, which surely isn’t correct.

I’m a bit rusty, but I believe it should be to the power of 2 (it doesn’t matter when the date of the first baby is but the second baby and third must match the first to qualify) and there is that dang confounding concept of a leap year (which I’ve had to add extra bits of code or formulas for).

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I’m gonna be nice and assume that the professor was not asked the odds, but to determine 365^3, and then shoved words into his mouth. But who knows, “emeritus” is Latin for “old as fuck.”

Maybe the reported asked about a specific date, rather than just sharing a date, and then misquoted without being aware of the distinction.

There is also the issue of odds vs probabilities, 1 in 48,627,125 is 48,627,124 to 1.

Nevermind that birth dates among family members are not iid…nor iud iykwim

In case anyone was unaware of the fact, according to the Guinness book of records, Karin Henriksen in Norway gave birth on February 29, 1960, 1964, and 1968.

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