CFS/CFSR is a numerical climate/weather modeling framework that ingests surface, radiosonde, and satellite observations to estimate the state of the atmosphere at hourly time resolution onward from 1 January 1979.
Also guessing no one has bothered to peer review it.
Just needs more Antarctica… Voila! No global warming!
And yeah, I’m curious (might read the paper and criticism to avoid work) of what we do with 1970’s satellite technology.
But also Global Warming is basically a linear trend for the last 50 years. So you can pretty much just ignore whatever time period feels ‘too old’. The trend is the same.
And if you don’t trust “averaging” or “trends”, you could just look at anywhere on earth, any city or state or continent, and see that we no longer have any “coldest of all time” records. We only have “warmest of all time” records.
We need to reframe it from “it’s the hottest summer in the last X years” to “it’s the coolest summer for the next X years”.
The good El Nino news is less Hurricanes for Florida.
So they were going to have a below-average season. Only we upgraded them to average… then to above average… because the ocean is hot also. Oh well, sorry Florida.
Well the moment many have been predicting may finally be upon us. Cheap electric vehicles. This article is highlighting the inventory pileup of electric vehicles now and in the next 10 years auto makers will have the capacity to produce several multiples of the volume of electric vehicles that they can produce now… It’s going to be an interesting decade as this plays out. How affordable will electric get?
https://www.axios.com/2023/07/10/unsold-electric-cars-are-piling-up-on-dealer-lots
I was surprised to read that 51% of consumers are considering buying an EV.
The main cost that is preventing the price going down quickly is that of the battery, due to not enough lithium being currently available. They’re ramping up lithium production but don’t know how long it will take to meet demand.
”Batteries cost the manufacturer anywhere from $13,000 - $25,000 or even higher for something like a [Rivian] or a [Hummer],” says Cory Steuben, president of Munro & Associates, an EV engineering and consulting firm. “Just the battery costs more than the total vehicle cost for some cheaper ICE [internal combustion engine] cars .”
Well, Price, as seen on page one of any microeconomics book, seems to be the major reason. Oh, and they’re not worth what they cost. Not saying ALL EVs, just a lot of them. Also, it’s been speculated that dealers, who make a lot of money servicing ICE cars, are not that induced to sell EVs, which have much lower maintenance costs (after the recalls, of course).
I’ve noticed that people are weirdly obsessed with the price of gas. Maybe not obsessed enough to price gas into their purchase, but enough to buy electric, and say, “fuck you, price of gas.”
Based on the number of battery factories being built by very large stable corporations in the United States right now I have to imagine a supply of whatever those factories need to produce a battery is either online now or will be when they open the doors. The factory Ford is building in Elizabethtown, KY just south of Louisville is unbelievable in scale and Ford is building another one of similar size in Hopkinsville, KY just north of Clarksville, TN. The article below talks about other large battery factories in the works.
The top picture below is the progress on the battery plant in Elizabethtown and the bottom is the architect rendering of the finished product. Zoom in on the current progress photo and you can see the vehicles and whatnot to get a scale of how massive that building is.
https://electrek.co/2021/12/27/13-battery-gigafactories-coming-us-2025-ushering-new-era/
Interesting to me that Tesla has been marking down their prices all year. I assume the other manufacturers are in the same boat or will be soon. I agree they’re not worth it now, but making a reliable electric vehicle cheaper than a similar class gas powered vehicle should be achievable in the not too distant future.
Tesla has an advantage in that they set the price of their cars, while dealers set the prices on their manufacturers’ cars. If they want to make a point of not selling EVs, they’ll set the price higher than the market is willing to pay (or, just wait for that one sucker to pay).
My heart goes out to any of you living in the Phoenix area as it has the potential of surpassing its previous record of 18 straight days with temperatures over 110 degrees. Las Vegas not much “cooler”. I know it is a “dry heat” but ….
https://www.axios.com/local/phoenix/2023/07/10/phoenix-historic-heat-wave-record
From the article -
Yikes!
And I’m headed there in a few weeks.
And, it’s a hot heat.
Phoenix is a disaster bailout waiting to happen. An area that the faucets just won’t have any water in them one day.
Some places like parts of the Southwest might have been best left uninhabited? Or less inhabited?
Probably not a good idea to have Chicago or Atlanta’s population in an area where there is very little water.
It’s astonishing. They are building a $4B plant 20 miles east of me in De Soto, KS. Something like 2.5 million square feet and 4,000 employees. It’s a Panasonic plant slated to go online in 2025 to make batteries for Tesla and Lucid, I think.
Crazy thing is Toyota hasn’t started anything and I have seen some scuttlebutt lately they may have made a breakthrough in solid state batteries which might be more stable, faster charging, and lighter weight than lithium ion batteries. So more to come even than is going on now.
