French Election

First round of voting starts Sunday. How will Macron fare? Is this Marine Le Pen’s swan song? Will Zemmour triumph as the leader of the Right?

Macron looks fine.

Le Pen still rules the Right.

Zemmour’s dismal showing may discourage Tucker Carlson from ever running for office.

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Do we have results yet, or are they still tabulating the mail-in and early ballots?

runoff between Macron and Le Pen

Was surprised that Zemmour only got about 7% of the vote as Western media seemed to think he might replace Le Pen as the voice of the French Right. Polls are predicting a close vote between Macron and Le Pen.

Maybe I was too subtle in my earlier post…

I was merely commenting on the fact that the French election is held on one day, in person, with paper ballots attested by a photo ID and signature.

Interesting…

Yes, the French don’t trust mail-in ballots. I seem to recall they discontinued their use in the 1970’s. They do permit proxy voting.

You must also have noticed that the election was on Sunday.

Yes. Always on a Sunday.

I believe proxy voting is conducted at a police station, and a person can be the proxy to only one other voter.

Interesting…

Yes. Proxy voting is a closely controlled process.

Despite the doom and gloom, Le Pen’s party looks to be in 3rd, Macron’s 2nd, and the leftists in 1st, albeit with far less than a majority.

or

for somewhat more context, slightly less live reporting.

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So I guess in person, hand counted paper ballots as used in France are not a remedy for cheating.

I might be enjoying this moment too much. Oh well.

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The New Popular Front promised to reverse the law that raised the retirement age from 62 to 64, raise the minimum wage, adjust salaries and pensions with the inflation rate, and freeze food and energy prices to boost people’s purchasing power. That sounds like a vote-getting platform in most countries.

I heard she was crazy

Her mother was a hamster and her father smelt of elderberries.

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I haven’t found vote totals yet, just seat projections, but AFAICT, the polls were actually correct in terms of total vote % for the NR party. The key point as I understand it is that they have runoff elections in virtually every district, and in districts in which 3 candidates qualified for the runoff, the non-NR parties tried to turn it into an IRV election by getting the 3rd place candidate to drop out. And while NR is the plurality party with 32% support, they also are disliked by well over 50% of the population so lose in 1v1 races.