Will she break 4?
No, Her PR for the 800 is 1:57.68, which would imply a mile time around 4:04-4:05. I’ll be generous and say she gets just under 4:03.
I tried swallowing my doubt and turning it inside out, but… nope, I find nothing but faith in nothing. 
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i don’t think she has a realistic shot, no. i admire her for throwing it out there. as noted above, she lacks the underlying speed in the 800 and she has been training like a world’s best person for a while in a time of already made significant gains.
i disagree with @Ted_Hoffman 's projection based on her 800. too optimistic. a 157 runner is not close to running a 404 IMO (although she is not an average person). I think you need to find someone who can be sub 155 to have a chance at it.
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I find your lack of faith disturbing.
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I’m going on the assumption that she hasn’t run the 800 for a PR since she set it in 2020, so if she tried it now she’d run sub-1:57. But I don’t know that she’s going from high 1:57 to low 1:54, which is probably where she needs to have a PR to make 4:00 for the mile realistic.
The other notable thing: her world record for the mile is 4:07.64. Her 2nd best competitive mark is 4:16.71, she doesn’t have another mark under 4:18. Sure, the mile is not frequently run, but that was a massive drop on the PR on top of being a nearly 5-second drop on the WR. Even with pace runners and whatever new age energy-efficient shoe Nike has, dropping over 7 seconds is asking a hell of a lot.
I’m all out of faith.
This is how I feel.
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Are you cold and shamed?
I mean, wouldn’t you be if you were lying naked on the floor?
The reason this thread was created: so CS could post this.
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