It’s crazy here. My electrologist has clients who are detransitioning out of fear, and this is a deep blue state.
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I’m so sorry – it’s unbelievable this is real life. It’s so unfair.
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Just be glad you got the eff out before Trump 2.0. I got all them cis straight white-collar caucasian male american-born actuary privileges in my pocket, and I still wake up in the middle of the night thinking wtaf is going on here.
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Very glad I got out, but I hurt for my friends (trans and cis) that didn’t.
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Maybe you could offer a few people a sanctuary or reprieve of some kind?
My spouse thinks the right thing to do is to stay here and try to support/protect people, but I’m not convinced we can do much, or that we couldn’t do more from another country.
They are all welcome to visit and know that, but Canada isn’t recognizing refugee claims from the US yet, so there isn’t a way to give them any way to live/work here.
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Time to go through another potentially life-threatening election for the 2nd time in 6 months … weeeee. At least the good guys are strong favourites with a month to go.
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Some thoughts you may not be familiar with. In general (not necessarily in the specific), Canadian conservatives are mostly supposed to be fiscally conservative. They are in general, not socons. That’s been the way it’s been as long as I can remember. The last election you saw,even though the cons won in a landslide, there would be no expectation that you our your family would suddenly be directly impacted any more than mine would be.
And that’s because in general, Canadian conservatives are not socons. The current PM is the type of person I would actually expect to be leading the conservative party. Our liberals should be the same as our conservatives, with maybe the conservative leader being a bit more stodgy.
Seriously, no idea what he’s doing at the head of the liberal party.
I expect the cons, with their current leader, to be absolutely crushed in the next election, and it’s because they’re socons. You see the huge swing in the liberals polling? that wasn’t some magical secret untapped well of liberal voters they found. That massive swing is conservative voters who are planning on voting liberal in April. And there’s a lot more than dozens of us. That’s partly where our politics are different than in the US. Our identity is no where near as tied to a political party as it is in other countries. I have in my life voted for all of Liberal, conservative, and NDP, and I’m not alone.
Pretty sure my entire family is voting liberal this time. Also pretty sure a lot of my typical conservative voting neighbours will also be voting liberal as well. Won’t make a difference here this time since we’re already represented by a liberal…but we’re actually a bellweather I think. This area was conservative, led by a local guy, pastor, dentist, everyone loved him. Guaranteed job for life. Until the day he said something about flying the pride flag at the high school. And…next election he was gone.
So, feed the anxiety, but maintain hope :). I’m hopeful that the next four years are going to be focused on the economy, and we’re going to be led by a banker. A liberal banker lol.
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The CPC is 100% a social conservative party. The PC party here in Ontario certainly isn’t, but the CPC is at this point. Poilievre uses the same language as the fascists in America, and has most of the same talking points (anti-woke, eliminating birthright citizenship, anti-immigrant, etc). Danielle Smith bordered on treason asking Trump to drop tariffs just long enough to help Poilievre.
And I disagree that the LPC’s polling surge is solely due to the CPC collapsing. The surge has mostly been from a collapse of support for the NDP, since many people are not willing to vote for them and risk splitting the vote. Ottawa-Centre has a ghost as their current Liberal MP, and an excellent candidate from the NDP (the CPC is an non-factor here, the convoy is still top of everyone’s minds), and people are still mostly thinking they’ll vote LPC solely to try to ensure a LPC majority.
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Yes, but that’s recent, and my point that they’re going to have a problem. The current CPC is not reflective of typical Canadian conservative voters. Carney is reflective of a typical Canadian conservative voter, PP is not. Look around, Canadians all over the place vote conservative all the time…and they are NOT socons. Heck, were I live, the gay folks vote conservative. Well, not right now they don’t.
The Libs are looking to pick up seats from the NDP, but the big swing in voting polls is absolutely coming from conservative voters. There’s not enough NDP voters out there to account for this type of swing.
Polls have the CPC coming in around 35-37% nationally, which is actually slightly better than the 2021 election. Now, maybe people are telling the pollsters that they’ll vote conservative but when it comes to vote they’ll stay home or vote elsewhere, but that’s not an assumption Canadians should trust in.
The CPC needs a higher percentage of the votes than the Libs to win as many seats.
Carney is taking support from both the CPC and the NDP. If he was the CPC Leader, the CPC would win a massive majority.
A minority government by either party would not be a good outcome as the new government needs a strong mandate to combat Trump.
I’ve noticed that – I assume it’s because a lot of the CPC votes are in ridings where their votes are concentrated (ie they win 65-20-15 or something like that), so they need a better percentage nationally to win the more ‘up for grab’ seats?
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Yeah if Carney was con, itd be a landslide. He’s like the poster child for conservative pm’s.
One thing I learned recently, pp is running in an Ottawa suburb. I’m shocked. How does he get elected that close to ottawa, a liberal stronghold.
It’d be funny if he lost his seat this election. And not funny strange. Funny ha-ha.
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“Ottawa” includes a lot of farmland – the amalgamation really went overboard here. The Carleton riding is pretty much “all the stuff that shouldn’t be in a city but actually rural towns.” It’s a CPC stronghold and PP would have to work even harder to lose that riding than he’s worked to lose the overall election.
You are correct. This link shows just how pronounced this effect is based on the Conservatives and Liberals currently being tied in the popular vote: huge seat advantage for the Libs.
I think the election will be won or lost in Quebec. Carney’s poorer French language skills may hurt him a bit there.
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Maybe. You might be surprised. Canadians are liberal or conservative their entire lives, up until they’re not. PP may be fine, but I wouldn’t be surprised if the worm turned. Probably not, but not outside the realm of possibility.
I can still remember the day the entire province of Ontario voted in an NDP majority government. Every liberal, every conservative voter, we all jumped ship. PP getting kicked out for a liberal candidate would be less of a seismic event than that was.
Anyway, the entire point here is, I don’t think you should fret about you or your family. It’s still Canada, and people aren’t going to put up with much in the way of infringing of basic human rights.
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I’m far more stressed about how far the American idiot will be able to make inroads with a CPC government as far as restricting Canadian sovereignty than I am about the CPC actually doing bad things in Canadian law. I have way more faith in the Canadian system than that.
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I CALLED IT FIRST!!!
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Wait, why don’t you guys just gerrymander like LA did to save Mike Johnson??