# United States Presidential & Congressional Election 2024

**URL:** <https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-presidential-congressional-election-2024/6836>\
**Category:** Political Topics\
**Created:** [November 11, 2022, 6:43pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-presidential-congressional-election-2024/6836 "2022-11-11T18:43:53Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 254

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**Author:** ![soyleche](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/soyleche/32/42_2.png) [@soyleche](https://community.goactuary.com/u/soyleche)\
**Post date:** [October 13, 2024, 6:43pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-presidential-congressional-election-2024/6836/5213 "2024-10-13T18:43:38Z")

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The deep state has gotten to the nation’s bus drivers…

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**Author:** ![Triweasel](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/triweasel/32/159_2.png) [@Triweasel](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Triweasel)\
**Post date:** [October 13, 2024, 11:34pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-presidential-congressional-election-2024/6836/5214 "2024-10-13T23:34:30Z")

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I’ve been to the Coachella music festival a few times and parking is always a nightmare. They just don’t ever seem to have a good plan to handle all those people leaving at the same time.

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**Author:** ![dr\_t\_non-fan](https://community.goactuary.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/d/a8b319/32.png) [@dr\_t\_non-fan](https://community.goactuary.com/u/dr_t_non-fan)\
**Post date:** [October 14, 2024, 1:21am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-presidential-congressional-election-2024/6836/5215 "2024-10-14T01:21:58Z")

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Like a Refugee Camp or something. They should build a wall around Coachella, make MAGA pay for it.

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**Author:** ![stochiki](https://community.goactuary.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/s/8e7dd6/32.png) [@stochiki](https://community.goactuary.com/u/stochiki)\
**Post date:** [October 14, 2024, 2:45am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-presidential-congressional-election-2024/6836/5216 "2024-10-14T02:45:43Z")

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> **['Dead heat': Trump pulls even with Harris in NBC News poll](https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/dead-heat-trump-pulls-even-harris-nbc-news-poll-rcna174201)**
>
> A close election has never looked more tightly divided, with Harris’ popularity declining from its previous high and abortion atop voters’ issue list.

 ![Screenshot 2024-10-13 at 22-37-50 'Dead heat' Trump pulls even with Harris in NBC News poll](https://community.goactuary.com/uploads/default/original/3X/3/f/3f8126618b8954cc30a71df72219f8b66dbd485b.png)

It’s not looking good, honestly.

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**Author:** ![now\_samantha](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/now_samantha/32/24815_2.png) [@now\_samantha](https://community.goactuary.com/u/now_samantha)\
**Post date:** [October 15, 2024, 1:06am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-presidential-congressional-election-2024/6836/5218 "2024-10-15T01:06:27Z")

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Trump did a town hall tonight. After taking 4 questions, he said he’d take a couple more then play some music. Took one more question, then played the Spanish version of Con Te Partirò. Then played a weird version of It’s a Man’s Man’s World. Then said he’d take another question, changed his mind and had them play YMCA, which was followed by Hallelujah (the Leonard Cohen song that’s been covered by half the musicians on the planet). Then even more songs (Nothing Compares 2 U by Sinead O’Conner, some Guns N’ Roses, plus something I don’t recognize).

There was more time spent doing the Trump shuffle on stage than answering questions.

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**Author:** ![The\_President](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/the_president/32/70075_2.png) [@The\_President](https://community.goactuary.com/u/The_President)\
**Post date:** [October 15, 2024, 2:18am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-presidential-congressional-election-2024/6836/5219 "2024-10-15T02:18:03Z")

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Some people go to old folks homes to race wheelchairs. Others shout things while weird songs play in the common areas. At least at know what kind of crazy person we are getting.

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**Author:** ![now\_samantha](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/now_samantha/32/24815_2.png) [@now\_samantha](https://community.goactuary.com/u/now_samantha)\
**Post date:** [October 15, 2024, 2:28am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-presidential-congressional-election-2024/6836/5220 "2024-10-15T02:28:52Z")

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Apparently in the limited portion in which he did speak, he told people to go and vote on January 5th. Imagine the justified furor that Biden would have caused had he said the election was in January and then spent 30 minutes of a rally randomly listening to music while on stage. The dementia talk is accurate.

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**Author:** ![Cooke](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/cooke/32/15467_2.png) [@Cooke](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Cooke)\
**Post date:** [October 15, 2024, 3:39am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-presidential-congressional-election-2024/6836/5221 "2024-10-15T03:39:49Z")

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> [@now\_samantha](#):
>
> There was more time spent doing the Trump shuffle on stage than answering questions.

What is stranger is that his support is equal to Harris’ support at this stage.

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**Author:** ![NormalDan](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/normaldan/32/1013_2.png) [@NormalDan](https://community.goactuary.com/u/NormalDan)\
**Post date:** [October 15, 2024, 10:23am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-presidential-congressional-election-2024/6836/5222 "2024-10-15T10:23:14Z")

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People really hate the democrats

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**Author:** ![Rastiln](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/rastiln/32/77682_2.png) [@Rastiln](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Rastiln)\
**Post date:** [October 15, 2024, 11:12am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-presidential-congressional-election-2024/6836/5223 "2024-10-15T11:12:53Z")

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I was listening to the recent Pod Save America episode Why You Shouldn’t Panic about the Polls. They had on David Plouffe, senior advisor for the Harris campaign.

He kept saying that the public polls were garbage, that they had better data. But what really stuck out was, he kept saying “dead even”, “extremely close”… yet several times he said things like “we are being very conservative in our polling, we don’t want to overestimate our chances”.

If I’m reading him correctly, the Harris campaign isn’t putting their thumb on the scale to force things to look like a dead heat, but they are doing everything reasonable to not oversample Democratic support and get surprised. Pessimistically that could be interpreted as manipulation to keep support high, but they’re keeping their data internal and could say anything they wanted regardless of the data. I’ve read a bit, though couldn’t adequately summarize, how pollsters are adjusting sampling methodology and results to avoid undersampling Republican support, and I’m intuiting they are doing a lot of that at the risk of being overly pessimistic about their odds.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![The\_President](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/the_president/32/70075_2.png) [@The\_President](https://community.goactuary.com/u/The_President)\
**Post date:** [October 15, 2024, 11:29am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-presidential-congressional-election-2024/6836/5224 "2024-10-15T11:29:55Z")

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Its close enough that its going to be a turnout game, and Harris has more upside in that.

The last few days of the campaign will shift from showing the opponent is unfit for office to creating optimism for your candidate to get voters to show up. The Harris campaign has been focused on lowering Trump’s ceiling, so I think you see dead even polls and a waning enthusiasm in those results. Enthusiasm will break towards Harris, and they just need a strong finish. Think 2016 where everyone knew Clinton, and people broke towards Trump in the last week.

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**Author:** ![The\_Polymath](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/the_polymath/32/83081_2.png) [@The\_Polymath](https://community.goactuary.com/u/The_Polymath)\
**Post date:** [October 15, 2024, 12:40pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-presidential-congressional-election-2024/6836/5225 "2024-10-15T12:40:24Z")

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Betting Markets on the election have now opened up.

Doesn’t look great.

[https://on.ft.com/4gYwgzc](https://on.ft.com/4gYwgzc)

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**Author:** ![SteveGrondin](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/stevegrondin/32/3257_2.png) [@SteveGrondin](https://community.goactuary.com/u/SteveGrondin)\
**Post date:** [October 15, 2024, 1:33pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-presidential-congressional-election-2024/6836/5226 "2024-10-15T13:33:26Z")

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> [@Rastiln](#):
>
> be interpreted as manipulation to keep support high

or optimistically like “managing expectations to not create overconfidence”. Gotta walk the fine line between “all’s good” and “we must make drastic changes or we will lose”.

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**Author:** ![Maphistos\_Sidekick](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/maphistos_sidekick/32/84973_2.png) [@Maphistos\_Sidekick](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Maphistos_Sidekick)\
**Post date:** [October 15, 2024, 1:33pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-presidential-congressional-election-2024/6836/5227 "2024-10-15T13:33:51Z")

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It’s good to see one candidate concerned about the other’s well-being.

 ![image](https://community.goactuary.com/uploads/default/original/3X/f/2/f224e5efe03764e93bad8037a8aa49ee55c226e2.jpeg)

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![SteveGrondin](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/stevegrondin/32/3257_2.png) [@SteveGrondin](https://community.goactuary.com/u/SteveGrondin)\
**Post date:** [October 15, 2024, 1:35pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-presidential-congressional-election-2024/6836/5228 "2024-10-15T13:35:06Z")

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“He said sarcastically about her sarcastic tweet” I posted somewhat tongue-in-cheek.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Rastiln](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/rastiln/32/77682_2.png) [@Rastiln](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Rastiln)\
**Post date:** [October 15, 2024, 1:36pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-presidential-congressional-election-2024/6836/5229 "2024-10-15T13:36:44Z")

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Posts from a Fox News correspondent, who I suspect might be seeing less airtime, about the event:

 ![image](https://community.goactuary.com/uploads/default/original/3X/7/6/7696be5afb3b414d90bb5f8b84288a5a55682d28.jpeg)  
 ![image](https://community.goactuary.com/uploads/default/original/3X/f/2/f25ea1bbae519064bb3b7c7913ed98cc2060c84d.jpeg)  
 ![image](https://community.goactuary.com/uploads/default/original/3X/8/f/8fe4e2db8246dad6a92f96bfc0f84d6707b4ea0f.jpeg)  
 ![image](https://community.goactuary.com/uploads/default/original/3X/6/e/6ee5a1034d30a92c31e26828484b81785fb5ccc9.jpeg)  
 ![image](https://community.goactuary.com/uploads/default/original/3X/1/4/141578f8dc6294a189a49c81b2f3e075e7bc4cab.jpeg)

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Cooke](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/cooke/32/15467_2.png) [@Cooke](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Cooke)\
**Post date:** [October 15, 2024, 2:54pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-presidential-congressional-election-2024/6836/5230 "2024-10-15T14:54:07Z")

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> [@The\_President](#):
>
> Its close enough that its going to be a turnout game,

The Democrats have to get out the vote.

The media say every election is an important and/or pivotal one but that is actually very true this time. Will be interesting if the US electorate sees it that way and if there is a larger than normal voter turnout.

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**Author:** ![SredniVashtar](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/srednivashtar/32/2894_2.png) [@SredniVashtar](https://community.goactuary.com/u/SredniVashtar)\
**Post date:** [October 15, 2024, 3:07pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-presidential-congressional-election-2024/6836/5231 "2024-10-15T15:07:18Z")

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> [@Rastiln](#):
>
> Posts from a Fox News correspondent, who I suspect might be seeing less airtime, about the event:

I would also rather listen to Ave Maria on repeat than hear Trump discuss economics.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Rastiln](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/rastiln/32/77682_2.png) [@Rastiln](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Rastiln)\
**Post date:** [October 15, 2024, 3:49pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-presidential-congressional-election-2024/6836/5232 "2024-10-15T15:49:50Z")

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This just happened and I swear by it, but can’t share because my locality is too plastered across it.

The state GOP just sent out a mailer supporting its Republican candidate for City Commissioner.

For the photos of them on the mailer, the Republican Commissioner candidate for District 1 is using his mugshot from being convicted of a DUI early last year, with the background replaced by the American flag.

Seeing them side-by-side, there is no doubt his campaign picture is his DUI mugshot.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![NormalDan](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/normaldan/32/1013_2.png) [@NormalDan](https://community.goactuary.com/u/NormalDan)\
**Post date:** [October 15, 2024, 3:59pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-presidential-congressional-election-2024/6836/5233 "2024-10-15T15:59:31Z")

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Work smarter not harder!

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