# United States Congressional Election 2026

**URL:** <https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-congressional-election-2026/10151>\
**Category:** Political Topics\
**Created:** [March 17, 2025, 11:36am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-congressional-election-2026/10151 "2025-03-17T11:36:16Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 4

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![now\_samantha](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/now_samantha/32/24815_2.png) [@now\_samantha](https://community.goactuary.com/u/now_samantha)\
**Post date:** [January 29, 2026, 2:09pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-congressional-election-2026/10151/61 "2026-01-29T14:09:55Z")

</div>

How can he be even on national security after alienating all of our allies?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![dr\_t\_non-fan](https://community.goactuary.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/d/a8b319/32.png) [@dr\_t\_non-fan](https://community.goactuary.com/u/dr_t_non-fan)\
**Post date:** [January 29, 2026, 4:07pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-congressional-election-2026/10151/62 "2026-01-29T16:07:08Z")

</div>

> [@now\_samantha](#):
>
> How can he be even on national security after alienating all of our allies ?

Allies = foreigners.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![The\_President](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/the_president/32/70075_2.png) [@The\_President](https://community.goactuary.com/u/The_President)\
**Post date:** [January 29, 2026, 8:30pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-congressional-election-2026/10151/63 "2026-01-29T20:30:53Z")

</div>

Trump’s done plenty of objectionable things, but it might be a legitimate win to get NATO to contribute more to security than they have been.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![FormerActuary](https://community.goactuary.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/f/eada6e/32.png) [@FormerActuary](https://community.goactuary.com/u/FormerActuary)\
**Post date:** [January 29, 2026, 8:35pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-congressional-election-2026/10151/64 "2026-01-29T20:35:16Z")

</div>

Agreed. Are they really allies, or are they just giving lip service while the US foots the bills? I think they’re taking advantage of us, and it is time they started paying their share. Same with the UN. The US pays about 22% of the UN regular budget, and over 25% of the peacekeeping budget. That’s got to change.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![now\_samantha](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/now_samantha/32/24815_2.png) [@now\_samantha](https://community.goactuary.com/u/now_samantha)\
**Post date:** [January 30, 2026, 1:25pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-congressional-election-2026/10151/65 "2026-01-30T13:25:43Z")

</div>

The value of having the other NATO countries increase their spending would be to allow us to decrease military spending. Instead, proposed FY 2027 military spending is $1.5 trillion, vs $900 billion in 2026.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![The\_President](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/the_president/32/70075_2.png) [@The\_President](https://community.goactuary.com/u/The_President)\
**Post date:** [January 30, 2026, 2:00pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-congressional-election-2026/10151/66 "2026-01-30T14:00:57Z")

</div>

That would certainly be a reasonable result, but you are setting expectations pretty high for the Trump administration to let a win be a win.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![now\_samantha](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/now_samantha/32/24815_2.png) [@now\_samantha](https://community.goactuary.com/u/now_samantha)\
**Post date:** [February 1, 2026, 1:02pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-congressional-election-2026/10151/67 "2026-02-01T13:02:38Z")

</div>

14 point D win in a district Trump carried by 17.

> **[Texas stunner: Democrat Taylor Rehmet flips Republican state Senate district...](https://apnews.com/article/texas-state-senate-democrat-taylor-rehmet-c8cb6685c49696b8a607a8f93111ae2e)**
>
> Democrat Taylor Rehmet has won a special election for the Texas state Senate and flipped a reliably Republican district that President Donald Trump won by 17 points in 2024.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![jraven](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/jraven/32/229_2.png) [@jraven](https://community.goactuary.com/u/jraven)\
**Post date:** [February 1, 2026, 2:58pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-congressional-election-2026/10151/68 "2026-02-01T14:58:38Z")

</div>

My understanding is the Texas legislature doesn’t convene again until January 2027, and Rehmet would need to win the seat in this November’s election to serve in that session.

If so, I wouldn’t consider the voter turnout in a meaningless election to be indicative of voter sentiment.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![mavvj](https://community.goactuary.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/m/43a26b/32.png) [@mavvj](https://community.goactuary.com/u/mavvj)\
**Post date:** [February 1, 2026, 3:40pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-congressional-election-2026/10151/69 "2026-02-01T15:40:49Z")

</div>

As a non-American I wonder, why doesn’t it convene for a whole year?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![now\_samantha](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/now_samantha/32/24815_2.png) [@now\_samantha](https://community.goactuary.com/u/now_samantha)\
**Post date:** [February 1, 2026, 3:54pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-congressional-election-2026/10151/70 "2026-02-01T15:54:44Z")

</div>

As a non-Texan, I could ask the same question

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Maphistos\_Sidekick](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/maphistos_sidekick/32/84973_2.png) [@Maphistos\_Sidekick](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Maphistos_Sidekick)\
**Post date:** [February 1, 2026, 3:57pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-congressional-election-2026/10151/71 "2026-02-01T15:57:48Z")

</div>

Most state legislatures are only part-time bodies. Once upon a time, most state legislatures met every other year. (MT, NV, NJ, ND, TX and VA still follow this practice.)

There’s a perception that legislatures are corrupt bodies, and therefore should be in session as little as possible to minimize the shenanigans they can engage in.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Fish\_Actuary](https://community.goactuary.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/f/3ec8ea/32.png) [@Fish\_Actuary](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Fish_Actuary)\
**Post date:** [February 1, 2026, 4:07pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-congressional-election-2026/10151/72 "2026-02-01T16:07:04Z")

</div>

It’s been an interesting but of culture shock for me. Living in Louisiana, people often called in to local talk radio wanting the legislature to be closed. In Canada, people complain because it isn’t open enough.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![mavvj](https://community.goactuary.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/m/43a26b/32.png) [@mavvj](https://community.goactuary.com/u/mavvj)\
**Post date:** [February 1, 2026, 4:15pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-congressional-election-2026/10151/73 "2026-02-01T16:15:23Z")

</div>

Thanks, seems so strange to me

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![ArthurItas](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/arthuritas/32/63_2.png) [@ArthurItas](https://community.goactuary.com/u/ArthurItas)\
**Post date:** [February 1, 2026, 5:36pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-congressional-election-2026/10151/74 "2026-02-01T17:36:26Z")

</div>

Yep. The state legislature is in session for 40 days a year here.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![The\_President](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/the_president/32/70075_2.png) [@The\_President](https://community.goactuary.com/u/The_President)\
**Post date:** [February 1, 2026, 5:57pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-congressional-election-2026/10151/75 "2026-02-01T17:57:49Z")

</div>

**AI Overview**

> Texas state legislators receive a base salary of $7,200 per year ($600 per month), a rate unchanged since 1975, plus a $221 per diem for every day in session
> 
> . They also receive mileage reimbursement and retirement benefits after eight years of service. These figures apply to both Texas House and Senate members.

These don’t look like full time jobs.

It also looks like an office that that unless you are rich, or self employed, or rely on a spouse’s income, would be difficult to manage.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![jraven](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/jraven/32/229_2.png) [@jraven](https://community.goactuary.com/u/jraven)\
**Post date:** [February 1, 2026, 6:35pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-congressional-election-2026/10151/76 "2026-02-01T18:35:45Z")

</div>

In particular, the Texas legislature is only in session every other year, and typically just for the first half of that year (barring continuing sessions which can extend it a bit).

The attitude seems to be “they can’t get up to nonsense if they aren’t in session”, but it sure seems to just concentrate the nonsense to the brief periods when they are in session.

My state (New Hampshire) pays its state legislators even less than Texas does, with the net result that they are largely grifters, retirees, and wackadoos. Even at just $100 a year (unchanged since 1889) we aren’t getting our money’s worth.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![The\_Polymath](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/the_polymath/32/83081_2.png) [@The\_Polymath](https://community.goactuary.com/u/The_Polymath)\
**Post date:** [February 12, 2026, 6:31pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-congressional-election-2026/10151/77 "2026-02-12T18:31:42Z")

</div>

Latest Trump approval % snapshot.

Looking bleak for the GOP

 ![3xrjy6q093jg1](https://community.goactuary.com/uploads/default/original/3X/8/f/8f3fc6bd5814472a0cfaaa2bc1692ccf8a33cc5b.jpeg)

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![The\_President](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/the_president/32/70075_2.png) [@The\_President](https://community.goactuary.com/u/The_President)\
**Post date:** [February 12, 2026, 7:31pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-congressional-election-2026/10151/78 "2026-02-12T19:31:59Z")

</div>

why can’t blue be anything under 50%

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![YankeeTripper](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/yankeetripper/32/946_2.png) [@YankeeTripper](https://community.goactuary.com/u/YankeeTripper)\
**Post date:** [February 12, 2026, 7:40pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-congressional-election-2026/10151/79 "2026-02-12T19:40:20Z")

</div>

I think the shades of Red are states Trump won in 2024 and shades of Blue are States Harris won. But your idea would look better and be easier to read.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![The\_President](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/the_president/32/70075_2.png) [@The\_President](https://community.goactuary.com/u/The_President)\
**Post date:** [February 12, 2026, 8:13pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-congressional-election-2026/10151/80 "2026-02-12T20:13:07Z")

</div>

Right, that is the outcome, but it could also just be the way the color gradient works because everything shifted in parallel by ~10 points since the election.

[Previous page](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-congressional-election-2026/10151.md?page=3)

[Next page](https://community.goactuary.com/t/united-states-congressional-election-2026/10151.md?page=5)
