Stocks: what goes up must go up exponentially and never come down

No it maxes out at 23.8%

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well I’m going by this:

Long-term capital gains tax rates for the 2021 tax year

FILING STATUS 0% RATE 15% RATE 20% RATE
Single Up to $40,400 $40,401 – $445,850 Over $445,850
Married filing jointly Up to $80,800 $80,801 – $501,600 Over $501,600
Married filing separately Up to $40,400 $40,401 – $250,800 Over $250,800
Head of household Up to $54,100 $54,101 – $473,750 Over $473,750

Source: Internal Revenue Service

Research IRS form 8960, including who has to include it in their returns, and what the tax is. It throws an extra 3.8% tax on top of that.

OK so the technical detail is that the tax I’m talking about is NOT called the Long-Term capital Gains tax. It is the 3.8% Medicare contribution tax. It certainly IS assessed on long term capital gains (and other investment incomes), at least for some people. But it is assessed on people who earn a lot less than 450k, not only those who earn 450k or more.

So while the LTGC Tax is 0% or 15% or 20% as you describe, the total tax assessed against LTCGs might be 0%, 15%, or 18.8% or 23.8%. I don’t think it can be exactly 20% because if you earn enough to pay the 20% tax you are most assuredly also paying the extra 3.8%.

Read line 17 here:

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I don’t get too many ballers at VITA, but I do get a few since you have to be low income OR elderly. And yep, Deep Purple is spot on here.

Still, 23.8% may well be under your marginal tax rate for short term gains. And since those are, of course, are ALSO subject to the 3.8% NIIT… simply comparing the 20% rate to your marginal tax rate will give you an idea of the difference.

But yeah, technically you should be comparing 23.8% to marginal rate plus 3.8%. If you’re subtracting it obviously doesn’t matter. If you’re dividing, it’s got a small impact.

I’m not an expert so you’re probably right. I was going off a quick read on a website that seemed legit, maybe I misinterpreted, maybe they’re wrong. Seems you are likely more informed/accurate.

I’m back in SPY and ARKK till I see a dip
Got some F 3/16 $25 Calls too

Still holding onto my 12/17/21 VRT $25 Calls

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1-year RoR of 45.3%. I heard Biden was going to crash the economy? In 11/2020 alone I gained 13%. Just in mutual funds/overall market indices.

Peleton (PTON) eating shit sandwiches today

about a year ago I made a big bet on SPY with the thought that Trump would win the election and the market would go nuts.

Turned out to be a great move, but for the wrong reasons. Ill take the 42% return on it (SPY dipped to the 320’s the week of the election). I like to use this as an example of my ‘i dont know shit’ philosophy in investing that has lead to mostly DCA as I age.

All I really do now is stock some cash, wait for a dip, then buy more SPY. repeat.

Same. I played some of the WSB things, and bought some DAL and NCLH stock when Covid cratered everything. And I own some crypto. But these are all on the order of 0.1% of my portfolio. By and large, I buy and hold, and if there’s a big dip, then I dig under the couch cushions to buy even more. That worked well during Covid, my travel costs went to zero so I had a bit of room in the budget to buy more equities.

If I really thought I could beat the market, I’d be doing that for a living.

If you want to gamble, just download draftkings. its way more fun betting on sports vs stocks.

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Well, my portfolio not doing well today

anyone taking a chance on RIVN?

i tried to buy at the IPO 78, but it’s at 112 now and still climbing

nah right now EV stocks are all overvalued in my books

I will reconsider if I ever buy an EV

Except Nio!

Yeah, RIVN is higher market cap than most 100+ year automakers. not 5 years ago did I think this was possible

it’s not a sucker bet if u win

You can only win big if you don’t think like the mass

u mean like shorting tesla?
smart money doesn’t work in this market

is that what the mass thinks?