That would bother me.
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Why do you care if you get a red marble? Have you lost your marbles? 
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Yeah, BG did say âindependentâ, and âwith replacementâ so I guess the 1 - 0.994^10 is probably correct. But I disagree with the 6% calc.
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Getting it once and stopping is the same as picking with replacement and getting at least 1. In every case where you got 1 and stopped, you could have continued for the full number of picks and just ended up with at least one.
That doesnât show that 5.84% is incorrect; it actually proves the opposite. Your nth pick doesnât add an additional 0.6% to your chance of success - it only adds 0.6% if you havenât already won. Which results in the get-it-once-and-stop formula.
The chance is slightly less than 0.6%, you might die between the first marble and the ninth, or someone might disrupt your experiment. need to factor in that there simply might not be a tenth try.
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International Pancakes, Of Course
Macaroni and cheese, or fried fish for dinner? Theyâre both on the menu for the next two days, canât decide.
These weather forecasters way overestimated the amount of snow weâd getâ12 inches my foot!
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So, for the last year, I have been participating in a program with my utility provider where if I reduce my energy usage during certain times, I get a small rebate. I was like, weird. why would they pay me to use less. So I checked out the FAQ. Turns out, the reason why they encourage residential customers to use less energy is because their commercial customers pay more for energy usage.
So theyâre asking their residential customers to turn off their heat and cover up in blankets because they earn more from commercial customers?
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Their answer is weirder than the initial description.
The traditional reason for time-of-day pricing (which the rebate seems like a different way of accomplishing the same thing) is to even out demand. Hydro and fossil fuels and nuclear pump out the same amount of energy 24/7 (or at least they can) so if the utility can incent customers to smooth out usage / reduce peak demand, it reduces their capacity requirements. Or more accurately: slows the rate at which their capacity requirements increase.
Saying their corporate customers pay more⌠doesnât remotely explain why they want to pay you to use less.
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Nevertheless, thatâs the reason they gave in their FAQ.
I am shocked, SHOCKED, that private equity firm who privately owns a energy company would lie via omission to their customers.
I mean I guess if their capacity was so tight that they were looking at having to implement blackouts and thereâs some requirement they black out businesses before residences then maybe their explanation would make sense.
To be honest when price optimisation came to insurance I was a bit more shocked because I couldnât wrap.my head around charging a different premium for the same amount.of risk to different people.
I remember back in the day going to some industry janket (90s IIRC) and the person doing the presentation was an MBA type. The upshot of his presentation was actuaries leave money on the table by not using price optimization and charging different clients different amounts. After that I started seeing less and less actuaries becoming ceos and more finance MBA types at the head.
Nway I think this type of pricing is something that is taught in business schools.
Looks like another graduate of the Jack Welch school of management.
Partner is dithering whether weâll travel to see our nieceâs (their side) baptism.
They donât want to, but feel guilty. Iâll do whatever they want, attend with them or stay home, but I also donât want to spend a total of 8.5 hours driving to sit through a long Catholic ceremony and probably tithe to not be rude.
We just made that same 8.5-hour round trip to see the baby and parents for an overnight stay. The baby will be fundamentally the same as three weeks ago, and neither of us are even Christian.
If you end up going:
If the baptism is during a Mass, then expect about 1 hr, with about 5 minutes on the baptism. If it is a baptism outside Mass, maybe a little longer, 10-15 min at the outside for an individual, longer if many people are being baptized.
Donât feel any pressure to tithe at all. Zero, nada. Plenty of parishioners use electronic methods and pass that basket along during Mass (or donât contribute either way - no one knows!). You will look exactly like them. Stare at the hymnal if you want to avoid eye contact 
From a believerâs perspective, yes, there is a fundamental difference. But as a non-believer, you can view it as a life milestone that is important to the kidâs family. Seeing how you already traveled for the birth, I wouldnât view it as necessary given the distance. Your partner, of course, has to judge their own family dynamics to decide for themselves.
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Relations with that family are strained. Religion is somewhat a part of it, as Partnerâs family drifts to be more Christian Nationalist/MAGA/concerningly distrustful of fundamental laws of reality. They donât know weâre not a cishet couple and probably never will before they die, so going into the Catholic Church and singing hymns to Straight God given the circumstances isnât my idea of a fun time.
Of course, Iâd attend and sing and smile without complaint if Partner decided weâre going.
Interestingly, SIL who had the baby was adamant that she wanted one or two kids, that her future husband would have to convert to her flavor of Christianity, and that sheâd continue working. But her husbandâs father told him that he was only allowed to marry a Catholic, so SIL eventually became Catholic. Those parents also pressured the father to have lots of kids - now SIL is becoming a SAHM and has been talking about wanting at least 4 kids and joked about âa dozen.â
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Hey @Mountainhawk the canal is open for skating! Get your toque and skates on!
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