Moody's Rate

… and after the recent fed rate hike, I assume we can anticipate another big one for June?

I know it doesn’t track exactly, but I do have to wonder how much the April and May increases took into account anticipated fed action. Guessing we’ll top 5% one way or another.

June 2022 - 4.78%

Not as big a jump as I was expecting after the Fed hike. Huh.

Well, we’re looking at yield curve inversions in the near term…

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we’re almost back to normal!

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…an inverted yield curve?

July 2022 - 4.67%

Huh… a drop after the second 75bp fed rate hike in a row. Interesting.

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August 2022
4.65

September 2022
5.18

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… I’m gonna find ya I’m gonna get ya, get ya, get ya, get ya

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October 2022
5.73

I decided to put a link back to this thread in the spreadsheet

And here is a graph

chart

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November 2022
5.56

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December 2022
5.09

January 2023
5.02

February 2023
5.14

March 2023
5.23

April 2023
5.05

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May 2023
5.28

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June 2023
5.28

proof that I didn’t screw up

So I checked the record, and going back to August 1982, 11 times the rate didn’t change between consecutive months (so far).

The median monthly change has been a 2-bp decrease.

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July 2023
5.29

Aug 2023
5.58

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