# Is inflation back?

**URL:** <https://community.goactuary.com/t/is-inflation-back/3148>\
**Category:** Political Topics\
**Created:** [June 11, 2021, 5:20pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/is-inflation-back/3148 "2021-06-11T17:20:52Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 101

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**Author:** ![Fish\_Actuary](https://community.goactuary.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/f/3ec8ea/32.png) [@Fish\_Actuary](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Fish_Actuary)\
**Post date:** [February 14, 2025, 8:43pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/is-inflation-back/3148/2013 "2025-02-14T20:43:38Z")

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The flight to and from is a slog and it seems like I’m going to be doing it for awhile yet. Perhaps with cutback something will shake loose for me in BC.

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**Author:** ![Fish\_Actuary](https://community.goactuary.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/f/3ec8ea/32.png) [@Fish\_Actuary](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Fish_Actuary)\
**Post date:** [February 15, 2025, 10:41pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/is-inflation-back/3148/2014 "2025-02-15T22:41:58Z")

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Just got a message on my group chat with American friends complaining about egg prices. Normal eggs here are $3.65 usd while my cozy coop, sufficiently less cruel to make me feel comfortable buying them eggs were $4.22 usd

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**Author:** ![twig93](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/twig93/32/527_2.png) [@twig93](https://community.goactuary.com/u/twig93)\
**Post date:** [February 15, 2025, 11:30pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/is-inflation-back/3148/2015 "2025-02-15T23:30:48Z")

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Where I live (US) the organic eggs are cheaper than the regular non-organic eggs. It’s crazy!

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**Author:** ![SteveGrondin](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/stevegrondin/32/3257_2.png) [@SteveGrondin](https://community.goactuary.com/u/SteveGrondin)\
**Post date:** [February 15, 2025, 11:49pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/is-inflation-back/3148/2016 "2025-02-15T23:49:11Z")

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No eggs at Costco today midday.

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**Author:** ![Cooke](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/cooke/32/15467_2.png) [@Cooke](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Cooke)\
**Post date:** [February 16, 2025, 12:32am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/is-inflation-back/3148/2017 "2025-02-16T00:32:18Z")

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In addition to all the dead hens, are people hoarding?

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**Author:** ![SteveGrondin](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/stevegrondin/32/3257_2.png) [@SteveGrondin](https://community.goactuary.com/u/SteveGrondin)\
**Post date:** [February 16, 2025, 1:05am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/is-inflation-back/3148/2018 "2025-02-16T01:05:41Z")

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I know i am.

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**Author:** ![The\_Polymath](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/the_polymath/32/83081_2.png) [@The\_Polymath](https://community.goactuary.com/u/The_Polymath)\
**Post date:** [February 16, 2025, 10:36am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/is-inflation-back/3148/2019 "2025-02-16T10:36:43Z")

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Is this with WestJet?

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**Author:** ![Fish\_Actuary](https://community.goactuary.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/f/3ec8ea/32.png) [@Fish\_Actuary](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Fish_Actuary)\
**Post date:** [February 16, 2025, 12:37pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/is-inflation-back/3148/2020 "2025-02-16T12:37:04Z")

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With whichever airline. WestJet can be fastest. It’s 6 hours non-stop to Calgary and then an hour or two beyond that. I avoid them though because the trip to NL is a red-eye. It’s 9 to 12 hours on Air Canada or Porter with stop overs and depends on the length of the stop over.

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**Author:** ![ArthurItas](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/arthuritas/32/63_2.png) [@ArthurItas](https://community.goactuary.com/u/ArthurItas)\
**Post date:** [February 20, 2025, 1:50am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/is-inflation-back/3148/2021 "2025-02-20T01:50:32Z")

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Was at the store today, and there were plenty of eggs. Prices ranged from $4 to $10 per dozen, depending on how much you care about cage free, organic, and brand.

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**Author:** ![The\_Polymath](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/the_polymath/32/83081_2.png) [@The\_Polymath](https://community.goactuary.com/u/The_Polymath)\
**Post date:** [February 21, 2025, 11:23am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/is-inflation-back/3148/2022 "2025-02-21T11:23:15Z")

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Inflation is definitely back. Just very localised for now.

4.3% in Chicago.

Here is a top 10 list.

 ![Screenshot_20250221_112115_Samsung Internet](https://community.goactuary.com/uploads/default/original/3X/6/f/6fd0cff8050a8eceeb34979e21a3a16d34e09c44.jpeg)

Link to article:

[https://wgntv.com/news/chicago-news/chicago-inflation-ranking/?fbclid=IwY2xjawIlQO1leHRuA2FlbQIxMQABHYw8XdSaUh96c4iN2XeM83X0pUy-YdE6uK2SdaIE6krM\_mAmkBBuJzt1pQ\_aem\_FGPOzp5bdhp3x3oqFwLpKA](https://wgntv.com/news/chicago-news/chicago-inflation-ranking/?fbclid=IwY2xjawIlQO1leHRuA2FlbQIxMQABHYw8XdSaUh96c4iN2XeM83X0pUy-YdE6uK2SdaIE6krM_mAmkBBuJzt1pQ_aem_FGPOzp5bdhp3x3oqFwLpKA)

Changes in Inflation by City Link:

> **[Changes in Inflation by City](https://wallethub.com/edu/cities-inflation/107537)**
>
> Changes in Inflation by City

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**Author:** ![ArthurItas](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/arthuritas/32/63_2.png) [@ArthurItas](https://community.goactuary.com/u/ArthurItas)\
**Post date:** [February 21, 2025, 2:01pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/is-inflation-back/3148/2023 "2025-02-21T14:01:37Z")

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> **[Changes in Inflation by City](https://wallethub.com/edu/cities-inflation/107537)**
>
> Changes in Inflation by City

They don’t show the raw data, but looking at the results by city and the change compared to two months prior make it seem like the individual city results are pretty noisy.

In aggregate it seems like a pretty good measure, but not sure I’d rely on a single monthly result for a city. I’d bet on Chicago regressing to the mean in 2 months.

That doesn’t mean inflation isn’t still running higher than the long term targets. It is, and I expect it to get worse as tariffs get implemented.

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**Author:** ![ArthurItas](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/arthuritas/32/63_2.png) [@ArthurItas](https://community.goactuary.com/u/ArthurItas)\
**Post date:** [February 21, 2025, 3:26pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/is-inflation-back/3148/2024 "2025-02-21T15:26:35Z")

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UMich does a consumer survey of expected inflation over the next 5 years. It drops today, and apparently is sitting at 3.5%.

Here’s the preliminary release from 2 wèeks ago, where it was 3.3%

 ![c1b065d5-fc5b-4b59-8cae-fdddf128d7bf](https://community.goactuary.com/uploads/default/original/3X/3/9/394792747830a636284b9d7c7dc01238fa5ea52c.jpeg)

3.5% is the highest result since 1995

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Actuary321](https://community.goactuary.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/a/ed8c4c/32.png) [@Actuary321](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Actuary321)\
**Post date:** [February 21, 2025, 5:35pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/is-inflation-back/3148/2025 "2025-02-21T17:35:10Z")

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For non-seasonally adjusted inflation Q4 is usually level to down and Q1 is usually where most of the annual inflation comes in. The January number for 2025 was higher than the one fro 2024 by a little bit so that pushed the year/year up slightly. I wouldn’t be surprised to see further increases in Feb and March that are higher than last years as well as some of the shock increases work through. Especially egg prices now affecting other food at home and in restaurants as those foods have to start increasing there prices in response to the shock increase in eggs.

After that it will really depend on what happens with tariffs and other follow on affects from the new administrations actions. I could imagine some price declines as unemployment increases because of the federal workers getting let go hit it and reduce their spending. But will that have as much affect as other things rolling into the pipeline from other actions that may tend to increase prices. If we don’t sent as much of our excess farm production overseas via foreign aid, will that lower prices in the short term? Still lots of things working their way through the economy.

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**Author:** ![The\_Polymath](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/the_polymath/32/83081_2.png) [@The\_Polymath](https://community.goactuary.com/u/The_Polymath)\
**Post date:** [March 1, 2025, 1:28pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/is-inflation-back/3148/2026 "2025-03-01T13:28:12Z")

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You know what this means…

> [@](#):
>
> Advocates for small farmers have accused Cal-Maine of limiting egg supplies in the US. The company was among a group of egg producers found liable for price fixing in 2023 and was ordered to pay $53mn in damages to food manufacturers including Kraft Foods, General Mills and Nestle. Cal-Maine and the other egg producers have filed court papers seeking a new trial and contesting the judgment. “Dominant egg producers — particularly Cal-Maine Foods — have leveraged the crisis to raise prices, amass record profits, and consolidate market power,” advocacy group Farm Action wrote in a letter to the Federal Trade Commission and Department of Justice. “The slow recovery in flock size, despite historically high prices, further suggests co-ordinated efforts to restrict supply and sustain inflated prices.”

[https://on.ft.com/41p51a2](https://on.ft.com/41p51a2)

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**Author:** ![The\_Polymath](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/the_polymath/32/83081_2.png) [@The\_Polymath](https://community.goactuary.com/u/The_Polymath)\
**Post date:** [March 14, 2025, 11:39pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/is-inflation-back/3148/2027 "2025-03-14T23:39:33Z")

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Hilarious. They are getting desperate now.

> **[US turns to Denmark as it hunts for eggs despite Trump’s threat over Greenland](https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/mar/14/trump-egg-prices-denmark-greenland)**
>
> Danish Egg Association says US asked if it could export eggs as prices surge despite president’s promise to lower them

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![now\_samantha](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/now_samantha/32/24815_2.png) [@now\_samantha](https://community.goactuary.com/u/now_samantha)\
**Post date:** [March 14, 2025, 11:41pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/is-inflation-back/3148/2028 "2025-03-14T23:41:02Z")

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I’ve also heard that they approached Norway about eggs too. If only there were a long time trusted ally that bordered the US that Trump hadn’t antagonized.

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**Author:** ![Cooke](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/cooke/32/15467_2.png) [@Cooke](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Cooke)\
**Post date:** [March 14, 2025, 11:51pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/is-inflation-back/3148/2029 "2025-03-14T23:51:59Z")

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This is hilarious and pathetic at the same time.

Canada has eggs but Trump has attacked our egg and dairy supply management approach in the past that ensures we have enough of these products. That, combined with his economic warfare on Canada, means zero eggs for him from north of the border.

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**Author:** ![SteveGrondin](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/stevegrondin/32/3257_2.png) [@SteveGrondin](https://community.goactuary.com/u/SteveGrondin)\
**Post date:** [March 15, 2025, 12:53am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/is-inflation-back/3148/2030 "2025-03-15T00:53:49Z")

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That aren’t either rotten or thrown. You can make eggceptions, you know.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Cooke](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/cooke/32/15467_2.png) [@Cooke](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Cooke)\
**Post date:** [March 15, 2025, 1:09am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/is-inflation-back/3148/2031 "2025-03-15T01:09:15Z")

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Yeah. The yolk may be on Trump.

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**Author:** ![Mathman](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/mathman/32/14042_2.png) [@Mathman](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Mathman)\
**Post date:** [March 23, 2025, 12:54am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/is-inflation-back/3148/2032 "2025-03-23T00:54:00Z")

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I’ve seen some stories that the egg situation is improving. I got two dozen at Costco today in Kansas City for $8.79, cheapest I’ve seen in a while.

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