# Global Warming

**URL:** <https://community.goactuary.com/t/global-warming/1673>\
**Category:** Political Topics\
**Created:** [January 1, 2021, 4:45pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/global-warming/1673 "2021-01-01T16:45:28Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 21

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**Author:** ![YankeeTripper](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/yankeetripper/32/946_2.png) [@YankeeTripper](https://community.goactuary.com/u/YankeeTripper)\
**Post date:** [June 13, 2024, 10:41pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/global-warming/1673/408 "2024-06-13T22:41:53Z")

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Presumably they built on the flood plain because they ran out of space on the non flood plain. 🤷‍♂️

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**Author:** ![twig93](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/twig93/32/527_2.png) [@twig93](https://community.goactuary.com/u/twig93)\
**Post date:** [June 21, 2024, 2:45am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/global-warming/1673/409 "2024-06-21T02:45:35Z")

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They have plenty of space from all the cleared out rainforest, no?

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**Author:** ![The\_Polymath](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/the_polymath/32/83081_2.png) [@The\_Polymath](https://community.goactuary.com/u/The_Polymath)\
**Post date:** [July 2, 2024, 7:18am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/global-warming/1673/410 "2024-07-02T07:18:56Z")

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> **[Alaska's Arctic rivers turn rusty orange as permafrost thaws](https://news-mongabay-com.cdn.ampproject.org/c/s/news.mongabay.com/2024/05/alaskas-arctic-rivers-turn-rusty-orange-as-permafrost-thaws/amp/)**
>
> Dozens of once-pristine rivers and streams in Alaska’s Brooks Range are turning an alarming shade of orange. The discoloration, according to a new study published in the journal Communications Earth and Environment, is likely caused by the thawing of...

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**Author:** ![Maphistos\_Sidekick](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/maphistos_sidekick/32/84973_2.png) [@Maphistos\_Sidekick](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Maphistos_Sidekick)\
**Post date:** [August 8, 2024, 10:20pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/global-warming/1673/411 "2024-08-08T22:20:14Z")

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Looks like air conditioning is needed on the North Slope.

> **[Record-high temperatures bake Deadhorse and other sites on Alaska’s North...](https://alaskabeacon.com/briefs/record-high-temperatures-bake-deadhorse-and-other-sites-on-alaskas-north-slope/)**
>
> The 89-degree reading at Deadhorse appears to be the warmest ever recorded at such a high latitude anywhere in North America.

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**Author:** ![dr\_t\_non-fan](https://community.goactuary.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/d/a8b319/32.png) [@dr\_t\_non-fan](https://community.goactuary.com/u/dr_t_non-fan)\
**Post date:** [August 8, 2024, 11:03pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/global-warming/1673/412 "2024-08-08T23:03:16Z")

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Yeah, but in the Winter Time…

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**Author:** ![Cooke](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/cooke/32/15467_2.png) [@Cooke](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Cooke)\
**Post date:** [August 8, 2024, 11:17pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/global-warming/1673/413 "2024-08-08T23:17:16Z")

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The name, Deadhorse, is about as appealing as its weather. Better bet is Whitehorse in the Yukon. Nice town. Only town north of 60 I could see living in.

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**Author:** ![dr\_t\_non-fan](https://community.goactuary.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/d/a8b319/32.png) [@dr\_t\_non-fan](https://community.goactuary.com/u/dr_t_non-fan)\
**Post date:** [August 8, 2024, 11:40pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/global-warming/1673/414 "2024-08-08T23:40:19Z")

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> [@Cooke](#):
>
> The name, Deadhorse, is about as appealing as its weather.

No sense beating on a … well, you know.

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**Author:** ![dr\_t\_non-fan](https://community.goactuary.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/d/a8b319/32.png) [@dr\_t\_non-fan](https://community.goactuary.com/u/dr_t_non-fan)\
**Post date:** [August 9, 2024, 5:08pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/global-warming/1673/415 "2024-08-09T17:08:20Z")

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Someone doing some archive digging to show concerns about warming, in the 1970’s:

> **[The lost history of what Americans knew about climate change in the 1960s](https://grist.org/science/lost-history-climate-1960s-clean-air-act-supreme-court/)**
>
> It wasn't just scientists who were worried, but Congress, the White House, and even Sports Illustrated, newly unearthed documents show.

Nice quote at the end:

> Oreskes acknowledges that it’s “an uphill battle with the present court,” but says that the paper will help strengthen the arguments of lawyers working to push forward climate cases.
> 
> Why has so much of this history been overlooked? Oreskes pointed to the “general historical amnesia of Americans.” As the politician Adlai Stevenson [once put it](https://books.google.com/books?id=CrtoNFTuPwwC&pg=PP9&lpg=PP9&dq=%22The+trouble+with+Americans+is+that+they+haven%27t+read+the+minutes+of+the+previous+meeting.%22&source=bl&ots=nH4oApvmH_&sig=ACfU3U2_oYLYoh60sf6NgzlNhB6xoFpbLQ&hl=en&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwjegeiz68-HAxVvEjQIHegRIKIQ6AF6BAgIEAM#v=onepage&q=%22The%20trouble%20with%20Americans%20is%20that%20they%20haven't%20read%20the%20minutes%20of%20the%20previous%20meeting.%22&f=false), “ **The trouble with Americans is that they haven’t read the minutes of the previous meeting.** ”

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Cooke](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/cooke/32/15467_2.png) [@Cooke](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Cooke)\
**Post date:** [August 9, 2024, 5:43pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/global-warming/1673/417 "2024-08-09T17:43:31Z")

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My father-in-law’s first cousin was an author of the 1970 Sports Illustrated piece on climate change. He became the SI Managing Editor in 1979 so was fortunate to be in charge in their glory years.

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**Author:** ![soyleche](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/soyleche/32/42_2.png) [@soyleche](https://community.goactuary.com/u/soyleche)\
**Post date:** [August 10, 2024, 12:31am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/global-warming/1673/418 "2024-08-10T00:31:47Z")

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> **[Greenhouse Effect](https://www.xkcd.com/2889/)**

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**Author:** ![The\_Polymath](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/the_polymath/32/83081_2.png) [@The\_Polymath](https://community.goactuary.com/u/The_Polymath)\
**Post date:** [August 20, 2024, 5:00pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/global-warming/1673/419 "2024-08-20T17:00:57Z")

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Not sure if you guys have been following this story.

Super Yacht docked beside port in Sicily got taken out by a waterspout.

> **[Climate crisis fuelled storm that sank yacht in Sicily, say experts](https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/aug/20/climate-crisis-fuelled-storm-that-sank-yacht-in-sicily-say-experts)**
>
> Record sea temperatures in the Mediterranean contributed to waterspout that hit Bayesian

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![twig93](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/twig93/32/527_2.png) [@twig93](https://community.goactuary.com/u/twig93)\
**Post date:** [August 20, 2024, 6:01pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/global-warming/1673/420 "2024-08-20T18:01:03Z")

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Geez… 30.5 C is roughly 86.9 F.

That’s insane.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![dr\_t\_non-fan](https://community.goactuary.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/d/a8b319/32.png) [@dr\_t\_non-fan](https://community.goactuary.com/u/dr_t_non-fan)\
**Post date:** [August 20, 2024, 6:22pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/global-warming/1673/421 "2024-08-20T18:22:52Z")

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OK, I’ll bite: why “Bayesian” for the name of a former super yacht?  
Also, trying to work up some fancy wordplay for this unfortunate incident…

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**Author:** ![Fish\_Actuary](https://community.goactuary.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/f/3ec8ea/32.png) [@Fish\_Actuary](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Fish_Actuary)\
**Post date:** [August 20, 2024, 6:24pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/global-warming/1673/422 "2024-08-20T18:24:14Z")

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His dissertation work used Bayesian analysis according to one article I saw.

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**Author:** ![knoath](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/knoath/32/65607_2.png) [@knoath](https://community.goactuary.com/u/knoath)\
**Post date:** [August 20, 2024, 8:52pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/global-warming/1673/423 "2024-08-20T20:52:59Z")

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_Two more survivors have been named as Leah Randall and **Katja Chicken** , the Italian Coastguard said. The pair, who are both South African, worked as crew members on the Bayesian vessel._

Unusual name.

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**Author:** ![Maphistos\_Sidekick](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/maphistos_sidekick/32/84973_2.png) [@Maphistos\_Sidekick](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Maphistos_Sidekick)\
**Post date:** [August 20, 2024, 8:55pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/global-warming/1673/424 "2024-08-20T20:55:53Z")

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The reporting on the story seems credible.

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**Author:** ![Fish\_Actuary](https://community.goactuary.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/f/3ec8ea/32.png) [@Fish\_Actuary](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Fish_Actuary)\
**Post date:** [August 20, 2024, 9:10pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/global-warming/1673/425 "2024-08-20T21:10:13Z")

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For the conspiracy theorists, it sounds like his codefendent died as a result of a car accident two days prior to his apparent death.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![The\_Polymath](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/the_polymath/32/83081_2.png) [@The\_Polymath](https://community.goactuary.com/u/The_Polymath)\
**Post date:** [August 20, 2024, 9:11pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/global-warming/1673/426 "2024-08-20T21:11:00Z")

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Yes. That was very weird. In Cambridgeshire.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![The\_Polymath](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/the_polymath/32/83081_2.png) [@The\_Polymath](https://community.goactuary.com/u/The_Polymath)\
**Post date:** [August 20, 2024, 9:53pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/global-warming/1673/427 "2024-08-20T21:53:39Z")

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Latest study concludes that 1.5C warming is now almost impossible.

Its a 50% chance of 1.6C (or more) but with a likely skew towards 2C.

> [@](#):
>
> Feasibility of peak temperature targets in light of institutional constraints
> 
> Despite faster-than-expected progress in clean energy technology deployment, global annual CO2 emissions have increased from 2020 to 2023. The feasibility of limiting warming to 1.5 °C is therefore questioned. Here we present a model intercomparison study that accounts for emissions trends until 2023 and compares cost-effective scenarios to alternative scenarios with institutional, geophysical and technological feasibility constraints and enablers informed by previous literature.
> 
> Our results show that the most ambitious mitigation trajectories with updated climate information still manage to limit peak warming to below 1.6 °C (‘low overshoot’) with around 50% likelihood.
> 
> However, feasibility constraints, especially in the institutional dimension, decrease this maximum likelihood considerably to 5–45%. Accelerated energy demand transformation can reduce costs for staying below 2 °C but have only a limited impact on further increasing the likelihood of limiting warming to 1.6 °C. Our study helps to establish a new benchmark of mitigation scenarios that goes beyond the dominant cost-effective scenario design.

[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-024-02073-4](https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-024-02073-4)

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![soyleche](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/soyleche/32/42_2.png) [@soyleche](https://community.goactuary.com/u/soyleche)\
**Post date:** [August 21, 2024, 2:30am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/global-warming/1673/428 "2024-08-21T02:30:00Z")

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Maybe related to him

 ![image](https://community.goactuary.com/uploads/default/original/3X/b/b/bb830b6c1a573940bea31122c70b2c165e3cbe6c.jpeg)

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