Hey I’m not defending this as rational or wise. Harris/Walz voter here. 
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It generally comes down to “are you better off now than you were four years ago”. The answer was “no” in 2020 so people voted for change and it was “no” again in 2024.
I don’t doubt that psychology, fueled by simplistic/biased media coverage add fuel to the fire. However, most of the headline statistics do tend to overlook that deviations from the mean are not randomly distributed, and that does have implications when translated to wrangling the voting public.
If such a thing existed, it’d be interesting to see a chart showing how many households had different magnitudes of changes in real disposable income, and then see that recast for various demographic/geographic groups.
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I think something happened in the US that artificially raised the average wage between the first and fourth quarters of 2020.
Yes, that’s already been discussed.
You guys are acting like voters care WHY they are feeling the pinch in their wallet and I assure you that they do not.
You are like 3 standard deviations above the average voter’s financial literacy. What they understand is
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And the more I think about it, the price of eggs might be the absolute worst thing to triple. In Moms Facebook groups it’s almost a trope “I’m over budget on groceries… what are some budget-friendly dinner ideas?” Pre-Covid the answer was almost universally “breakfast for dinner”.
That was the one affordable source of protein that most people actually know how to cook AND like to eat (unlike beans).
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Stop right there.
Let me say it once more, louder since you didn’t hear me the first time. Or the second time.
VOTERS DO NOT CARE WHY.
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Also, things can be going fantastically well in the first few years of your presidency and then you hit a snag and you don’t win reelection. Just ask GHWB. It’s largely luck as most of the things the POTUS does will not have an impact that voters feel until well after they leave office when some other POTUS will undeservingly reap the credit or blame.
Wages were still inflated Nov 2020 due to COVID layoffs. You can’t use a starting point artificially high by a couple % to claim that the 1% decline means anything.
Why are you yelling while using short term data points to justify the feels?
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Of course I can. Because that’s what 95% of voters do. Including 99.99% of swing voters.
All they look at is “in November 2020 I made X and eggs cost Y. Now I make 1.2X and eggs cost 2.4Y”
I am pretty sure we are basically agreeing on some generalized things on this btw.
Lol…I am pretty sure we both know they aren’t doing the math like that.
They know that eggs more than doubled and their income is only up a little bit.
I tried to point out the egg price increase was primarily due to avian flu and he laughed at me. That was the last time I talked to that asshat.
I really don’t think I am willing to acknowledge that votes happen because of the short term price of something they spend $5 a week on.
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That’s fine. You don’t have to acknowledge reality. I know it’s a hard day when a lot of us would rather not. I, for one, am still in bed.
Its new avatar day for me. Yay!
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Is there a way to hide avatars?
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