# 2026 NFL Football Thread

**URL:** <https://community.goactuary.com/t/2026-nfl-football-thread/12517>\
**Category:** Sports\
**Created:** [February 9, 2026, 5:23pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/2026-nfl-football-thread/12517 "2026-02-09T17:23:52Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 4

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**Author:** ![Vorian\_Atreides](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/vorian_atreides/32/65623_2.png) [@Vorian\_Atreides](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Vorian_Atreides)\
**Post date:** [April 20, 2026, 3:44pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/2026-nfl-football-thread/12517/61 "2026-04-20T15:44:27Z")

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> [@tommie.frazier](#):
>
> but he’s a WR

How many teams are looking for a really good blocking WR?

I think this type of player can be gold for an offense looking to improve their running game while still having a passing threat.

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**Author:** ![tommie.frazier](https://community.goactuary.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/t/b5a626/32.png) [@tommie.frazier](https://community.goactuary.com/u/tommie.frazier)\
**Post date:** [April 20, 2026, 4:14pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/2026-nfl-football-thread/12517/62 "2026-04-20T16:14:16Z")

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def a positive trait, willingness to block

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**Author:** ![quoll](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/quoll/32/81747_2.png) [@quoll](https://community.goactuary.com/u/quoll)\
**Post date:** [April 20, 2026, 5:15pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/2026-nfl-football-thread/12517/63 "2026-04-20T17:15:51Z")

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He can also get into opposition’s heads with his smirk.

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**Author:** ![Funemployed](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/funemployed/32/417_2.png) [@Funemployed](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Funemployed)\
**Post date:** [April 20, 2026, 5:31pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/2026-nfl-football-thread/12517/64 "2026-04-20T17:31:45Z")

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> [@Vorian\_Atreides](#):
>
> How many teams are looking for a really good blocking WR?

“No block, no rock” – Ben Johnson

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Papasmurf](https://community.goactuary.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/p/90ced4/32.png) [@Papasmurf](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Papasmurf)\
**Post date:** [April 25, 2026, 1:35pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/2026-nfl-football-thread/12517/65 "2026-04-25T13:35:35Z")

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Some strange picks by the Bears on day 2. I get the Center pick, but not sure how they could go with another TE, which is one of their lowest needs, and a WR project when they desperately need help on the Defensive Line.

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**Author:** ![Funemployed](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/funemployed/32/417_2.png) [@Funemployed](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Funemployed)\
**Post date:** [April 25, 2026, 6:03pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/2026-nfl-football-thread/12517/66 "2026-04-25T18:03:11Z")

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All the D linemen were gone at that point. So if you can’t stop them, just score more points instead!

#BelieveInBen

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![tommie.frazier](https://community.goactuary.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/t/b5a626/32.png) [@tommie.frazier](https://community.goactuary.com/u/tommie.frazier)\
**Post date:** [April 25, 2026, 6:47pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/2026-nfl-football-thread/12517/67 "2026-04-25T18:47:34Z")

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i love the reading of the names. some solid picks by many teams, some head scratchers for sure.

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**Author:** ![Funemployed](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/funemployed/32/417_2.png) [@Funemployed](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Funemployed)\
**Post date:** [April 25, 2026, 7:04pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/2026-nfl-football-thread/12517/68 "2026-04-25T19:04:04Z")

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Has anyone ever said “With the eleventy-first pick…”?

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**Author:** ![dr\_t\_non-fan](https://community.goactuary.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/d/a8b319/32.png) [@dr\_t\_non-fan](https://community.goactuary.com/u/dr_t_non-fan)\
**Post date:** [May 8, 2026, 5:34pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/2026-nfl-football-thread/12517/69 "2026-05-08T17:34:08Z")

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Aww, poor billionaires aren’t on paper richer than they thought they were.

[https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/\_/id/48712023/seattle-seahawks-sale-buyers-less-interested-nfl-expected](https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/48712023/seattle-seahawks-sale-buyers-less-interested-nfl-expected)

> The sources who spoke to ESPN said the situation was fluid but added that there are doubts among NFL owners and executives about whether the Seahawks sale – after sports business insiders speculated that it would spark a bidding war and that the franchise would fetch up to $11 billion – will eclipse the $10 billion mark. They said they believe that the team will sell for slightly above $9 billion, which would still be a record price for an NFL team.

Oh, and that old stadium might need to be replaced, to fleece fans into buying new seat licenses.

> The Seahawks might also need a new stadium in coming years. While a new venue could open up additional revenue in the long term, the politics and cost could be a fight in the short term.

Yeah, Seattle is not all that happy to be bent over to take it from billionaires AND pay for the privilege.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![OutdoormanNowActuary](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/outdoormannowactuary/32/6159_2.png) [@OutdoormanNowActuary](https://community.goactuary.com/u/OutdoormanNowActuary)\
**Post date:** [May 8, 2026, 5:40pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/2026-nfl-football-thread/12517/70 "2026-05-08T17:40:03Z")

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> [@Funemployed](#):
>
> Joy left Illinois years ago

Joy is still there

[Joy, Illinois - Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joy,_Illinois)

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![tommie.frazier](https://community.goactuary.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/t/b5a626/32.png) [@tommie.frazier](https://community.goactuary.com/u/tommie.frazier)\
**Post date:** [May 9, 2026, 9:38pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/2026-nfl-football-thread/12517/71 "2026-05-09T21:38:28Z")

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How old is the current stadium?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![dr\_t\_non-fan](https://community.goactuary.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/d/a8b319/32.png) [@dr\_t\_non-fan](https://community.goactuary.com/u/dr_t_non-fan)\
**Post date:** [May 10, 2026, 2:55am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/2026-nfl-football-thread/12517/72 "2026-05-10T02:55:37Z")

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25 ish?  
It is a no-lose, no-risk business, as long as #muricans keep enjoying watching other people get hurt for a living. Why is a new stadium needed?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Funemployed](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/funemployed/32/417_2.png) [@Funemployed](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Funemployed)\
**Post date:** [May 10, 2026, 2:58am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/2026-nfl-football-thread/12517/73 "2026-05-10T02:58:03Z")

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No pain, no gain!

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Funemployed](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/funemployed/32/417_2.png) [@Funemployed](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Funemployed)\
**Post date:** [May 15, 2026, 12:16am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/2026-nfl-football-thread/12517/74 "2026-05-15T00:16:45Z")

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This Cardinals finishing schedule is absolutely nuts. 5 of their last 6 games at home… and one road game in the final 7 weeks?! Who comes up with this?

 ![image](https://community.goactuary.com/uploads/default/original/3X/f/0/f0f98769a16b7b7c526de8c57297d92099d3d5a6.png)

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Funemployed](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/funemployed/32/417_2.png) [@Funemployed](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Funemployed)\
**Post date:** [May 15, 2026, 12:19am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/2026-nfl-football-thread/12517/75 "2026-05-15T00:19:48Z")

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And I guess the Bills are only playing 4 games this year…

 ![image](https://community.goactuary.com/uploads/default/original/3X/6/a/6a92b44358dbf99e6ce8cdc6c64a386e7cd6f942.png)

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![dr\_t\_non-fan](https://community.goactuary.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/d/a8b319/32.png) [@dr\_t\_non-fan](https://community.goactuary.com/u/dr_t_non-fan)\
**Post date:** [May 15, 2026, 12:47am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/2026-nfl-football-thread/12517/76 "2026-05-15T00:47:38Z")

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Maybe the stadium is being used by others in the earlier weekends.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![dr\_t\_non-fan](https://community.goactuary.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/d/a8b319/32.png) [@dr\_t\_non-fan](https://community.goactuary.com/u/dr_t_non-fan)\
**Post date:** [May 15, 2026, 1:01am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/2026-nfl-football-thread/12517/77 "2026-05-15T01:01:31Z")

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Reading the overreactions, based on faulty logic, mostly.  
[https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/\_/id/48758666/2026-nfl-schedule-release-overreactions-takeaways-best-games-opponents-matchups](https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/48758666/2026-nfl-schedule-release-overreactions-takeaways-best-games-opponents-matchups)  
Here’s one:

> But … the Bears have the hardest schedule in the NFL, based on the 2025 win/loss records of the teams they’ll play in 2026. And while that is certainly not the only indicator of schedule strength, history says it’s definitely not nothing.

Um, OK, show me the history.  
Like, “rank the difficulty of 2025 based on the 2024 win/loss, and then rank the difficulty of the 2025 season based on the 2025 win/loss.”  
And then do this for several past seasons. Go ahead, I’ll wait.  
That should tell us if ranking the difficulty of the 2026 season based on the 2025 win/loss is “any indication.”

Also, the difference between “easiest” (0.429) and “hardest” is about two games in a 17-game schedule. 7.3 wins versus 9.35. Big-ass whoop.

Should also check the actual win/loss records of 2025 based on 2024 win/loss “difficulty.” Should be able to linear-regress that with some confidence, that difficult-scheduled teams would have worse records, and easy-scheduled teams would have better records, but I doubt it.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Funemployed](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/funemployed/32/417_2.png) [@Funemployed](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Funemployed)\
**Post date:** [May 15, 2026, 2:47am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/2026-nfl-football-thread/12517/78 "2026-05-15T02:47:44Z")

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Ah, yes. Probably the Charlie Kirk Memorial Tour.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![vjvj](https://community.goactuary.com/user_avatar/community.goactuary.com/vjvj/32/406_2.png) [@vjvj](https://community.goactuary.com/u/vjvj)\
**Post date:** [May 15, 2026, 6:35am UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/2026-nfl-football-thread/12517/79 "2026-05-15T06:35:30Z")

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It’s easy to say when you’re not in Chicago. A two game swing in a football season is definitely not a big-ass whoop unless your team sucks big time or your team is clearly at the top. Which the Bears aren’t.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Papasmurf](https://community.goactuary.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/p/90ced4/32.png) [@Papasmurf](https://community.goactuary.com/u/Papasmurf)\
**Post date:** [May 15, 2026, 4:19pm UTC](https://community.goactuary.com/t/2026-nfl-football-thread/12517/80 "2026-05-15T16:19:52Z")

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NFL seasons are wildly unpredictable, but you could imagine a scenario where a playoff spot comes down to the Bears or Lions. The 3 games they don’t have in common are Bears vs Eagles, Seahawks and Jaguars, and Lions vs Cardinals, Titans and Giants. Seems like a meaningful difference, but we’ll see.

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