FIFA has released the details for the World Cup draw on April 1 (5pm BST). Your draw seeds:
Qatar
Belgium
France
Brazil
Argentina
England
Italy*
Spain
*If Italy fail to qualify, Portugal seeded. If Portugal also don’t qualify, it’s Denmark.
It’s done by FIFA Ranking, so the next 8 best-ranked teams to qualify will be in Pot 2.
Then the next 8 in Pot 3.
Pot 4 contains the remaining 5 to have qualified, plus the winners of the final UEFA playoff, and the two intercontinental playoffs.
As usual, teams from the same confederation will be kept apart in each of the eight groups with the exception of UEFA, which is represented by 13 teams. Five out of the eight groups will therefore have two European teams.
While the final draw will determine the group fixtures, the final match schedule will be confirmed after games have been assigned to a stadium and kick-off time for each matchday to provide the most beneficial kick-off time for audiences at home.
So, what else do we now know about the draw pots?
Denmark are Pot 2 if either Italy or Portugal qualify
Also in Pot 2 will be:
Netherlands
Germany
Switzerland
Croatia
Plus, if they qualify auto:
Mexico
United States
Uruguay
Senegal have a decent chance of being in Pot 2, should they qualify.
They would need one of:
Portugal and Italy fail to qualify
One of Mexico, USA, Uruguay fail to qualify automatically
If Senegal fail to qualify, then Iran or Peru best placed for Pot 2.
The three playoff winners (played June) being in Pot 4 also creates the possibility of a strong group.
For instance, Uruguay are ranked 16th in the World, but if they have to come through the intercontinental playoff they will be in Pot 4, when they would usually be in Pot 2.
So, you could have France and Germany drawn together, and get Uruguay from Pot 4.
It will also be harsh on the winner of the Ukraine playoff path. Ukraine are ranked 27th, with Wales (20th), Austria (30th) and Scotland (40th).
Could get a lower pot than ranking would earn.
Canada will need to see if they are Pot 3 or Pot 4, if they seal a second appearance at the World Cup finals.
It’s going to depend who else qualifies automatically this week.
Wins over this next week would boost their chances of Pot 3 and perhaps a more favourable draw.
Little add here on the possible 8th seed, as there’s a twist in the tale.
While Italy are guaranteed to be seeded if they qualify, Portugal (and Denmark) could be overtaken even if they win both games.
So who could be the 8th seed?
The twist is that if either Mexico or United States win all three of their qualifiers this week, and Italy fail to qualify, it will be a CONCACAF nation who is in Pot 1.
Mexico and United States play each other, so only one can win all three matches.
There is also a chance for Netherlands or Germany to overtake Denmark across the friendlies and take a place among the seeds in Pot 1 (if neither Portugal nor Italy qualify).
But three wins for Mexico or United States trumps anything else, should Italy fail to make it.